The 2000 Guineas at Newmarket kicks off on Saturday and the 1000 Guineas on Sunday.
In races of this importance.
Let’s take a look at the strongest trends for each of these races in what is a sumptuous weekend of racing ( with high class flat racing at Goodwood, and top grade racing at Punchestown).
The 2,000 Guineas
All of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out. So, in the form column, look for the number 1,2,3 in the most recent race.
15 of the last 17 winners had previously won over at least 7 furlongs ( the 2000 guineas is a 1 mile ( 8 furlong) race.
15 of the last 17 winners had won at group level before and had notched up between 2-5 wins in all race types previously.
15 of the last 17 winners came from stall 12 or lower. And 6 of the last 9 winners came from stall6 6 or lower. That’s is some recent trend. Stalls 1-6 sees madhoom, Emaaraty Ana, Skardu, Set Piece, Ten Sovereigns and Great Scot. It is Ten Sovereigns who would catch my eye as an Aidan O’Brien trained horse ( won the last 3 runnings quite apart from being a multiple 2000 guineas winning trainer)
Ten Sovereigns as I say would be a tentative each-way pick. Within the top 6 stalls, Aidan O’Brien trained, 3 consecutive wins.
1000 guineas
15 of the last 17 winners of Sunday’s 1000 guineas came 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out.
7 of the last 12 winners won on their last start.
8 of the last 12 winners ran in the last 31 days.
The last 3 winners all came from either stall 7 or stall 8. That may just be an anomaly.
There are no other absolutely outstanding trends.
Aidan O’Brien is nowhere near as prolific in the 1000 guineas . That said, he did win the race in 2016 and 2017 and his usual first choice jockey Ryan Moore did win in 2012, 2015 and 2016.
I don’t have any stall data at current time of writing but stalls 7 and 8 may get a look in on Sunday once the information is known, particularly if their incumbents finished in the top 3 last time out and won their last start , running not more than 31 days ago.
Good luck with your selections.