Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

545 muss Betting forecast: 11/10 Phyllis Maud, 7/2 Sisyphus, 6/1 Kelly´s Finest, 10/1 Billy Ranger, 10/1 Joshua Potman, 14/1 Arracourt, 16/1 Beijing Star, 20/1 Celtic Power.
usual Kelly’s Finest  – 5th 10.5
speculative Joshua Potman – 7th 8.45

The 2 performers were horses on either side of my selections in the betting forecast. A shame!
715 muss Betting forecast: 7/4 Trafalgar Rock, 9/2 Slipper Satin, 11/2 Devon Drum, 15/2 Dhaular Dhar, 8/1 Heska, 10/1 Blue Cannon, 12/1 Incurs Four Faults, 14/1 New Colours, 16/1 Pinotage.
usual Devon Drum  – non runner
speculative Heska -7th 12.82

Guess who won? Yes, the horse inbetween these 2 in the betting forecast!

Today

215 ascot Betting forecast: 5/4 Dawn Of Hope, 5/1 Rosamaria, 8/1 Hijran, 8/1 Lozah, 10/1 Bay Of St Malo, 10/1 Pure Vanity, 12/1 Alyssa, 12/1 Unsuspected Girl, 16/1 Susurro.
usual Hijran
speculative Purel Vanity
405 kempton Betting forecast: 7/4 King Of Rooks, 2/1 Rouleau, 9/2 Tutu Nguru, 6/1 Adventurous, 20/1 Jazz Legend, 25/1 Dream Destination, 25/1 Princess Kodia, 25/1 Sixties Sue.
usual Tutu Nguru
speculative Adventurous
535 stratford Betting forecast: Evs Nicely Indeed, 3/1 Crimson Ark, 5/1 Amber Spyglass, 7/1 Grand Enterprise, 20/1 Justice Is Done, 20/1 Run Bob Run, 25/1 Indimoon, 33/1 Hard Toffee, 100/1 Gentle Nature.
usual Amber Spyglass
speculative Grand Enterprise