A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 400 ascot Betting forecast: 13/8 Secateur, 7/4 Pin Up, 4/1 Mill Springs, 2nd 1.49
3 735 dundalk Betting forecast: 8/11 Panama Hat, 2/1 Carla Bianca, 5/1 Unsinkable. 1st 1.16
4 240 fontwell Betting forecast: 11/8 Shantou Tiger, 15/8 Danimix, 4/1 Copper Birch, 1st 1.25
5 315 fontwell Betting forecast: 7/4 Royal Battalion, 15/8 Shear Rock, 4/1 Disputed, 1st 1.33
12 225 gowran Betting forecast: 5/4 Stuccodor, 11/4 Baily Cloud, 7/1 Rathmuck Native, 3rd 1.04
6 200 hexham, Betting forecast: 7/4 Kitchapoly, 2/1 Heist, 6/1 Ballycool, 2nd 1.82

Today

6 210 fontwell Betting forecast: 6/4 Benissimo, 6/4 Mercers Court, 4/1 Le Legro,
8 445 redcar Betting forecast: 11/8 Piccadilly Jim, 6/4 Jakodima, 8/1 Solid Justice,