Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 31st August 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

10 155 beverley Betting forecast: 10/11 Adele, 2/1 Hollie Point, 9/1 Natural Charm, 2nd 1.19
5 520 beverley Betting forecast: 10/11 Cagoule, 11/10 Master Of Suspense, 12/1 Quick Touch, 1st 1.19
6 550 beverley Betting forecast: 4/6 Real Jazz, 3/1 Jimmy Crackle, 10/1 Acquaint, 1st 1.82
8 455 market rasen Betting forecast: 11/10 Chesterfield, 6/4 Satanic Beat, 11/2 Countersign, 1st and 2nd 1.09 and 1.19
6 240 sandown Betting forecast: 2/1 Aktabantay, 9/4 Future Empire, 5/1 Elm Park, 2nd 1.62
4 525 wexford Betting forecast: 6/4 Grecian Tiger, 2/1 Alton Bay, 4/1 Totally Dominant, 3rd 1.32

Today

4 230 brighton Betting forecast: 4/6 Tongue Twista, 5/2 Pretty Picture, 5/1 Rock Follies,
4 250 cork Betting forecast: 4/6 Flaxen Flare, 2/1 Plinth, 10/1 The Plan Man,
7 305 curragh Betting forecast: 6/4 Cappella Sansevero, 2/1 War Envoy, 5/1 Rapid Applause,
3 210 worcester Betting forecast: Evs Authinger, 6/4 Fairyinthewind, 9/2 Vinnie The Fish.