Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 30th September 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

450 sedgefield Betting forecast: 11/8 Fishy Story, 7/2 Mount Mizooka, 4/1 Catch The Magic, 5/1 Absolute Angel, 14/1 Due East, 14/1 Knysna Bay, 100/1 Kicking Lily, 100/1 Skiddaw Poppy.
usual Catch the Magic 3rd 12.39 win and 2.58 place
speculative Due East – 4th 16.39
405 sthl Betting forecast: 7/4 Weybridge Light, 7/2 Jimmy Shan, 11/2 The Big Dipper, 7/1 Little Windmill, 10/1 Bit Of A Jig, 10/1 Knocklong, 14/1 Optical High, 25/1 Agent Louise, 33/1 Monzino.
usual Jimmy Shan 2nd 3.31 win and 1.47 place
speculative Knockalong – 4th 12.5
440 sthl Betting forecast: 10/11 Francis Of Assisi, 7/2 Ballycamp, 7/1 Jarlath, 7/1 Rustamabad, 10/1 Lawless Island, 20/1 Ferngrove, 33/1 Dr Izzymoo, 100/1 Streele, 100/1 Whitstable Native.
usual Ballycamp 2nd 4.7 win and 1.22 place
speculative Rustamabad 3rd 17.88 win and 3 place
840 wolves Betting forecast: 7/4 San Quentin, 7/2 Monopoli, 4/1 Robben, 7/1 Grey Gem, 9/1 Sakhra, 12/1 Emily Yeats, 20/1 Beausant, 25/1 Renewing, 66/1 Imagery.
usual Robben  – 4th 7.37
speculative Emily Yeats – 8th 59.02

Today

430 salisbury Betting forecast: 9/4 Elronaq, 100/30 Tabarrak, 4/1 Projection, 5/1 Bint Al Reem, 8/1 Lytham St Annes, 10/1 Unilit, 16/1 Ample, 100/1 Stormflower.
usual Bint Al Reem
speculative Unilit