Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 30th July 2014

Each way betting – a background

How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd .

By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour.

Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus.

1) we select only from 8/9 runner races

2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection . A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place.

3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

 

This is the background behind the selections you will find here.

Make sure you check the place only terms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

250 beverley Betting forecast: 7/4 Groor, 4/1 Manshaa, 9/2 Saltarello, 5/1 Austin Friars, 7/1 Kopassus, 10/1 Summer Stroll, 33/1 Related To Ewe, 50/1 Debt Free Dame, 50/1 North Bay Lady.
usual Austin Friars  – 4th 9.8
speculative Summer Stroll – 3rd 12 win and 2.72 place

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400 beverley Betting forecast: 100/30 Mister Manannan, 4/1 Emjayem, 4/1 Rich Again, 9/2 Flash City, 15/2 Mey Blossom, 8/1 Ace Master, 14/1 Lady Ibrox, 16/1 Dodina, 25/1 Lost In Paris.
usual Flash City  – 2nd 4.92 win and 1.83 place
speculative Ace master  – 7th 8.53
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815 galweay Betting forecast: 8/13 Antique Platinum, 5/2 Rightway, 8/1 Henson, 25/1 Chief Suspect, 25/1 Clear Intent, 25/1 Whipalong, 33/1 Ducky Mallon, 33/1 Smallnsmart, 100/1 Ftstepsinthebrogue.
usual Henson  – 2nd 4.35 win and 1.2 place
speculative Clear Intent – 5th 27.65

This is another top heavy Galway race. The front 2 may make up the 2 places as per yesterday, leaving us with a loss on the race if that occurs. Clear Intent, as you can see, is very speculative indeed. It looks a 3 horse race here, but will we see a surprise.

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230 goodwood Betting forecast: 10/11 Beacon, 3/1 Cotai Glory, 6/1 Mukhmal, 10/1 Dougal, 16/1 Fast Act, 20/1 Spirit Of Xian, 20/1 Union Rose, 66/1 Burning The Clocks.
usual Mukhmal  – 4th 9
speculative Dougal – 7th 11.73

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905 perth Betting forecast: 2/1 Monita Bonita, 9/2 Top Chief, 13/2 Rev Up Ruby, 13/2 Solway Sam, 8/1 Los Nadis, 8/1 Ryton Runner, 10/1 Anton Dolin, 14/1 The Ice Factor.
usual Rev Up ruby  – 3rd 10.5 win and 2.5 place
speculative Ryton Runner – 1/2 length 2nd 14.5 win and 3.45 place

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750 worcester Betting forecast: 11/8 Discay, 13/8 Breaking The Bank, 5/1 Burgravio, 16/1 Vinceson, 20/1 The Rebel Panther, 25/1 Storme Ahead, 33/1 Milan Of Hope, 50/1 Silver Panther.
usual Burgravio  – 6th 8.65
speculative Vinceson – 3rd 14.22 win and 2.54 place

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530 yarmouth Betting forecast: 5/2 La Bacouetteuse, 4/1 Lucky Diva, 4/1 No Such Number, 6/1 Dr Finley, 6/1 Ninfea, 10/1 Roy Rocket, 14/1 Flamingo Beat, 33/1 Go Amwell.
usual Dr Finley  – 5th 11
speculative Roy Rocket – 6th 11.5

If Ryton Runner had just won instead of 1/2 length 2nd, all would have been well with the world.

710 galway Betting forecast: 8/15 Brooch, 4/1 Duchess Andorra, 8/1 Gradatim, 10/1 Columbanus, 10/1 Front Run, 16/1 Ballymac Rosey, 33/1 Bane, 33/1 Sea Adventure.
usual Gradatum
speculative Front Run
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340 goodwood Betting forecast: Evs Highland Reel, 9/2 Ahlan Emarati, 11/2 Dr No, 11/2 Tupi, 12/1 Pallister, 25/1 Chadic, 25/1 Faithful Creek, 33/1 Room Key.
usual Tupi
speculative Pallister

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510 perth Betting forecast: 7/4 St Gregory, 9/2 Cool Star, 5/1 Mia´s Anthem, 6/1 Blueside Boy, 7/1 Knight Woodsman, 14/1 Champagne Agent, 14/1 Ishlana, 20/1 Lochore.
usual Blueside Boy
speculative Champagne agent

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315 redcar Betting forecast: 3/1 Dougal Philps, 100/30 Mixed Message, 9/2 Tenhoo, 6/1 Yorksters Prince, 7/1 Matraash, 8/1 Destiny Blue, 14/1 Lucky Windmill, 20/1 Bold And Free, 20/1 Mcmonagle.
usual Yorksters Prince
speculative Lucky Windmill

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730 sandown Betting forecast: 2/1 Halation, 4/1 Biotic, 5/1 Carthage, 7/1 Craftsmanship, 8/1 Master The World, 10/1 Zerfaal, 12/1 Betty Bere, 12/1 Bowie Boy.
usual Craftmanship
speculative Zerfaal