Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 2nd September 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

440 epsom Betting forecast: 7/4 Cahala Dancer, 4/1 Choral Festival, 11/2 Artistic Flight, 6/1 Next Stop, 7/1 Minstrel Lad, 8/1 Sixties Love, 20/1 Peace Lilly, 25/1 Ron Waverly.
usual Artistic Flight  – 5th 7.6
speculative Sixties Love – non runner
535 hamilton Betting forecast: 11/8 French Press, 5/1 White Flag, 6/1 Keene´s Pointe, 7/1 Two Turtle Doves, 10/1 Cadeaux Pearl, 10/1 Raise A Billion, 12/1 Yair Hill, 20/1 Pitt Rivers, 50/1 Bix.
usual White Flag – 7th 16.27
speculative Raise a Billion – 3rd 25.94 win and 3.85 place

Today

220 bath Betting forecast: 2/1 Doc Charm, 5/1 King Crimson, 6/1 Princess Tansy, 7/1 Honcho, 7/1 Outrage, 8/1 Rainbow Orse, 10/1 Lady Gemini, 10/1 Toni´s A Star.
usual Princess Tansy
speculative Outrage
350 bath Betting forecast: 2/1 Shaden, 5/2 Ring Of Truth, 9/2 Show Me Again, 6/1 Silver Wings, 10/1 Star Glimmer, 10/1 Willytheconqueror, 50/1 Donttouchthechips, 50/1 Love In The Dark.
usual Show Me again
speculative Star Glimmer
725 gowran Betting forecast: 2/1 Cillian´s Return, 2/1 Here For The Craic, 5/2 Queen Alphabet, 14/1 Owega Star, 20/1 Now This Is It, 25/1 Meldrum Lad, 33/1 Lady Marmelo, 33/1 Red House Hill, 33/1 Thomas Ledger.
usual Queen Alphabet
speculative Owego Star
340 sthl Betting forecast: 10/11 Epic Warrior, 4/1 Presenting Streak, 11/2 Primo Capitano, 6/1 Jimmy Shan, 14/1 Little Windmill, 20/1 Fearsome Fred, 50/1 Millksheikh, 50/1 Tinkers Hill Tommy, 100/1 Falcon´s Legend.
usual Presenting Streak
speculative Jimmy Shan
610 worcester Betting forecast: 4/6 Hadfield, 3/1 Dylan´s Storm, 9/2 Champagne Ransom, 10/1 Big Mcintosh, 33/1 Chic Name, 66/1 Layerthorpe, 100/1 Ourlittle Senorita, 100/1 Whistler Mountain.
usual Champagne Ransom
speculative Big Mcintosh