A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

4 555 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 11/10 Sevenleft, 7/4 Rich Jade, 4/1 Erysimum, 2nd 1.22
9 655 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 7/4 Captain Power, 9/4 Tadaany, 7/1 Love Rosie, 1st and 4th 1.3
3 855 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 5/4 Gallope, 11/8 Cradle Mountain, 4/1 Walkabout. 1st 1.16
6 320 worcester Betting forecast: 6/4 Joe Farrell, 2/1 Brave Richard, 4/1 Thehossbehind, 1st 1.05
47 1.11

Today

5 815 bellewstown Betting forecast: 2/7 Moonmeister, 7/2 Jesmond Lodge, 14/1 Crown Pleasure,
4 840 newbury Betting forecast: Evs Nigel, 13/8 Senrima, 8/1 Burning Desire,
7 400 perth Betting forecast: 6/4 Honourable Gent, 2/1 Moonlight Maggie, 11/2 Bunclody,
5 530 perth Betting forecast: 1/2 Waterlord, 3/1 Touch A Million, 8/1 Miss High Time,
7 555 tipperary Betting forecast: 5/4 Jealous Beauty, 3/1 Foxen, 6/1 In The Air,