Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 29th October 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

11 110 ffos las Betting forecast: 6/4 Fletchers Flyer, 5/2 Shantou Bob, 9/2 Joffrey, – 3rd 1.19
14 130 windsor Betting forecast: 7/4 Magic Dancer, 5/2 Searching, 6/1 Scrutinise, – 1st 1.16
9 200 windsor Betting forecast: 7/4 Geordan Murphy, 3/1 Piccadilly Jim, 5/1 Solo Hunter – 1st 1.77

Today

7 235 punch Betting forecast: 7/4 Chancol, 9/4 Mr Fiftyone, 5/1 Drumlee,
5 305 punch Betting forecast: 10/11 Shanahan´s Turn, 6/4 Wounded Warrior, 10/1 Master Oscar,
6 240 taunton Betting forecast: 5/6 Supreme Present, 9/4 Honey Pound, 5/1 Sacred Square,
6 440 taunton Betting forecast: 5/6 A Hairy Koala, 6/4 Dry Ol´party, 10/1 Benim,
7 420 worcester Betting forecast: 5/4 Sykes, 9/4 Moral Hazard, 6/1 Copperfacejack,

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