Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

250 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 2/1 De Name Escapes Me, 5/1 Ma Garrett, 5/1 Winter Lion, 11/2 New Kid In Town, 13/2 Definite Earl, 8/1 Runyon Rattler, 16/1 Golan Lodge, 25/1 Organisedconfusion.
usual New Kid in Town  – pu 6
speculative Runyon rattler – 7th 29.46
1230 newcastle Betting forecast: 2/1 Mumgos Debut, 4/1 Alfred Oats, 5/1 Trouble In Paris, 8/1 Caraline, 8/1 Odds On Dan, 8/1 Seventeen Black, 10/1 Afterclass, 16/1 Rupert Bear.
usual Trouble in Paris  – 5th 3.7
speculative Seventeen Black- 4th 10.78
815 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Sparring, 13/8 The Steward, 11/2 Brandon Castle, 12/1 Luv U Whatever, 14/1 Gabrial The Hero, 20/1 Rotherwick, 20/1 Stosur, 33/1 Carthage.
usual Brandon Castle  – short head 2nd 12.47 win and 2.66 place
speculative Gabrial the Hero – 4th 24.05

Fuming! Done by a short head.

Today

1240 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 8/15 Missy Tata, 11/2 Rashaan, 7/1 Le Vagabond, 12/1 Rocket Punch, 12/1 Tiliver, 16/1 Newberry New, 20/1 Thywillbedone, 33/1 Sports Barrow.
usual Le Vagabond
speculative Tiliver
240 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 11/10 No More Heroes, 4/1 Free Expression, 9/2 Monksland, 5/1 Outlander, 14/1 Shantou Flyer, 25/1 Captain Von Trappe, 25/1 Sub Lieutenant, 33/1 Rightdownthemiddle.
usual Free Expression
speculative Shantou Flyer