Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

320 beverley Betting forecast: 9/4 Crombay, 7/2 Roaring Rory, 4/1 Naziba, 6/1 Twentysvnthlancers, 8/1 Garden World, 8/1 Sunnyhills Belford, 16/1 Arcane Dancer, 33/1 Cosmic Dust.
usual Naziba -non runner
speculative Sunnyhills Belford – 7th 8.2

3rd favourite today and the horse just before the 2 apparent outsiders.
515 galway Betting forecast: 11/8 Long Dog, 7/2 Adimelo, 4/1 Solatentif, 10/1 Three Stars, 14/1 Cecil Corbett, 14/1 Patsio, 16/1 Mr Boss Man, 20/1 Space Ship, 100/1 Survival.
usual Adimelo  -6th 8.89
speculative Cecil Corbet – 4th 60 win and 8.6 place

We could have 2nd or 3rd favourites has the usual selection today. Cecil Corbett is 5th in the betting and an ok speculative choice. As ever, these short priced favourites need to under-perform.
150 wolves Betting forecast: 6/4 Livella Fella, 4/1 Invigorate, 7/1 Breslin, 8/1 Scarlet Pursuits, 9/1 Threebagsue, 12/1 Fast Cat, 12/1 Four´s Company, 14/1 Beauchamp Monark, 33/1 Silhouette.
usual Invigorate -4th 7.4
speculative Fast Cat -7th 23

Usual selection seems obviois. I went for the 1st horse over 10/1 as the speculative selection.
510 wolves Betting forecast: 11/10 Borough Boy, 11/2 Classic Image, 13/2 Ecliptic Sunrise, 13/2 Give Us A Belle, 12/1 Tyfos, 14/1 Bapak Bangsawan, 16/1 Electric Qatar, 16/1 Shawkantango, 20/1 Bilash.
usual Give us a Belle  -short head 2nd 6.8 win and 1.78 place
speculative Bapak Bangsawan -5th 39.70

3 horses between 11/2 and 13/2 could be usual selections. Tyfus or Bapak for me as speculative.

A short head 2nd is as frustrating as it gets. A 2 length 4th place at 60 could have been a welcome placer!

Today

300 galway Betting forecast: 10/11 Thomas Hobson, 2/1 Stuccodor, 6/1 Fill Your Hands, 16/1 Midsommarkransen, 16/1 The Welsh Wizard, 20/1 Cliffside Park, 25/1 Black Sam The Man, 25/1 Snaidhm, 33/1 Hot Prospect.
usual Fill your hands
speculative Midsommarkransen
310 goodwood Betting forecast: 4/6 Solow, 9/2 Night Of Thunder, 7/1 Belardo, 9/1 Arod, 14/1 Cougar Mountain, 20/1 Here Comes When, 33/1 Bossy Guest, 40/1 Gabrial.
usual Night of Thunder
speculative Arod