Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 26th November 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

805 dundalk Betting forecast: 1/2 Facade, 6/1 Primal Snow, 13/2 Eagle Valley, 10/1 Lady Fandango, 10/1 Perfect Fit, 14/1 Mystical Child, 20/1 Carraigin Aonair, 25/1 Feruzzi, 33/1 Cutting Corners.
usual Eagle Valley –  2nd 5.75 win and 1.42 place
speculative Perfect Fit – 3rd 14.65 win and 2.26 place
1240 fontwell Betting forecast: Evs Bigmartre, 5/2 Clondaw Cian, 11/2 Blue April, 11/1 Spring Wolf, 14/1 Dukes Den, 25/1 Due South, 25/1 Grayhawk, 25/1 Threebarmymen, 33/1 Itsaboutime.
usual Clondaw Clan –  1st 2.56win and 1.11 place
speculative Spring Wolf – 8th 65
1200 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/8 Always Welcome, 11/4 Next Stage, 13/2 Nachi Falls, 12/1 Sacred Trust, 14/1 Beauty Night, 14/1 Rain In The Face, 14/1 Trespassed, 18/1 Like No Other, 33/1 Lugano.
usual Next Stage –  1st 3.03 win and 1.23 place
speculative Sacred trust – 3rd 55 win and 5.52 place
200 lingfield Betting forecast: 13/8 Seychelloise, 9/2 New Rich, 11/2 Pettochside, 7/1 Birdie Queen, 12/1 Rigolleto, 14/1 Billy Red, 14/1 Dishy Guru, 14/1 Ripinto, 16/1 Zipedeedodah.
usual Pettochside – 7th 10.5 
speculative Billy Red- 8th 60
1250 wetherby Betting forecast: 1/2 Draytonian, 5/1 Return Flight, 13/2 Bertalus, 8/1 Tara The Tiger, 20/1 Captain Redbeard, 20/1 Jellied Eel Jack, 50/1 Exclusive Tara, 100/1 Bertielicious, 100/1 Wayward Sun.
usual Berlatus  – 4th 12.2
speculative Tara the Tiger – 2nd 19 win and 2.57 place

Some juicy priced placers, but that’s all they were alas- placers

Today

610 chelmsford Betting forecast: 7/4 Epsom Day, 7/2 Silas R, 5/1 Jassur, 6/1 Harlequin Rock, 7/1 Goldenfield, 10/1 Recognition, 16/1 Northman, 50/1 Its A Sheila Thing, 50/1 Lady President.
usual Silas
speculative Goldenfield
640 chelmsford Betting forecast: 9/4 Guishan, 5/1 Hoofalong, 5/1 Luis Vaz De Torres, 5/1 Yeeoow, 11/2 Stellarta, 12/1 Clubland, 14/1 Dark Side Dream, 16/1 Swiss Cross, 25/1 Pour La Victoire.
usual Luis Vaz De Torres
speculative Dark Side Dream
310 thurles Betting forecast: 7/4 Daneking, 2/1 Jennies Jewel, 9/2 Mount Colah, 10/1 Hostile Fire, 12/1 Sonny B, 12/1 The Crafty Butcher, 25/1 Dushrembrandt, 33/1 Mireya, 100/1 Eiri Na Casca.
usual Mount Coolah
speculative Sonny B