Racing Testing Lab

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 130 lingfield Betting forecast: 13/8 Sinndar´s Man, 11/4 Malanos, 6/1 Dormouse,6th 1.97

4 200 lingfield Betting forecast: 4/6 Southway Star, 3/1 Browns Brook, 7/1 Arbeo, – 1st 1.42
6 230 lingfield Betting forecast: 8/13 Hel Tara, 2/1 Millicent Silver, 10/1 Grace And Fortune, – 1st 1.17
5 250 sedgefield Betting forecast: 13/8 Brother Scott, 2/1 Carters Rest, 4/1 Pistol Basc, – 2nd 1.68
8 110 sthl Betting forecast: 6/5 Wu Zetian, 9/4 Whispering Star, 8/1 Lendal Bridge, – 1st 1.18
5 210 sthl Betting forecast: 5/4 Chilworth Bells, 6/4 Invincible Wish, 6/1 Reet Petite, – 1st 1.1

Today

9 1240 fontwell Betting forecast: 4/6 Coologue, 5/4 Southfield Royale, 25/1 Like Sully,
7 350 fontwell Betting forecast: 6/4 Somerset Jem, 5/2 Time And Again, 5/1 Dexter Benjamin,
8 615 kempton Betting forecast: Evs Rightway, 6/4 Kokovoko, 7/1 Summersault,
11 1230 lingfield Betting forecast: 9/4 Awesome Power, 11/4 Royal Albert Hall, 6/1 Crisscrossed,
5 200 lingfield Betting forecast: 4/5 Two Smart, 9/4 Elhaam, 6/1 Qatar Princess,
6 235 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/8 Maverick Wave, 3/1 Energia Fox, 6/1 Castilo Del Diablo,
16 120 wetherby Betting forecast: 5/4 Ma Du Fou, 15/8 The Grey Taylor, 13/2 Apterix,
9 225 wetherby Betting forecast: 9/4 Final Countdown, 9/4 Top Of The Glas, 6/1 Hainan
9 330 wetherby Betting forecast: 6/4 Carinena, 3/1 Now Let Go, 6/1 Bedale Lane,