Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

545 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 2/1 Fiosrach, 9/4 Mystic Princess, 4/1 Rufino, 8/1 Aunt Alice, 14/1 Fuego Negro, 14/1 Nidhaam, 20/1 Esta Quercus, 20/1 Skellig Rocks, 25/1 Mighty Fly.
usual Rufino 3rd 3.7 win and 1.58 place
speculative Aunt Alice 2nd 14.23 win and 3.78 place

745 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 7/4 Mallards In Flight, 7/2 Ravished, 6/1 Heavenly Brook, 6/1 Zekarya, 10/1 Playtime Ben, 12/1 London Bridge, 14/1 Headford Flyer, 14/1 Loch Dara, 20/1 Harangue.
usual Heavenly Brook 4th 12.3
speculative London Bridge pu 30

The superb recent purple patch has ended. I do hope you made hay. Still, 2nd and 3rd in the same race I think vindicates this approach to each-way betting.

Today

415 leic Betting forecast: 11/8 Aljamaaheer, 7/2 Coulsty, 7/1 Intransigent, 7/1 Ninjago, 7/1 Sirius Prospect, 10/1 Penitent, 20/1 Nakuti, 33/1 Majestic Moon.
usual Intransigent
speculative Penitent
400 ripon Betting forecast: 7/4 Pinzolo, 7/2 Clever Cookie, 6/1 Fattsota, 7/1 Manhattan Swing, 10/1 Angel Gabrial, 10/1 Suegioo, 12/1 Silvery Moon, 20/1 Blue Hussar.
usual Fattsota
speculative Suegioo
435 ripon Betting forecast: 1/3 Decorated Knight, 7/1 Inshaa, 7/1 Tafahom, 14/1 Bletchley Park, 16/1 Salieris Mass, 25/1 Burneston, 50/1 Our Thomas, 100/1 Goneinaminute.
usual Inshaa
speculative Bletchley Park
915 wolves Betting forecast: 7/4 Alkawn, 9/2 Istinfaar, 5/1 Hakka, 13/2 Sweet Dancer, 7/1 Dark Light, 10/1 All For The Best, 10/1 Treasury Notes, 66/1 Liberty Rules.
usual Hakka
speculative All for the best