Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 500 carlisle Betting forecast: 13/8 Urban Hymn, 7/4 Duke Of Navan, 7/1 Hit The Top, – 2nd 1.26
6 345 ludlow Betting forecast: 11/8 Buywise, 7/4 Area Fifty One, 5/1 Prince Khurram, – 1st 1.33
6 450 ludlow Betting forecast: 13/8 Bob Will, 7/4 Kings Apollo, 5/1 Tenby Jewel, – 2nd and 3rd 1.79
5 215 thurles Betting forecast: 5/4 Down Ace, 13/8 Dazzling Susie, 7/1 Our Ned, – 2nd 1.2
8 315 thurles Betting forecast: 7/4 Lone Star, 3/1 Pershing, 6/1 Brog Deas Nua, – 1st 1.29
4 425 thurles Betting forecast: 8/13 He´llberemembered, 11/8 Moonshine Lad, 25/1 Keep On Track, – 2nd 1.23

Today

5 340 fakenham Betting forecast: 15/8 Wiesentraum, 9/4 Teak, 9/2 Valleyofmilan,