Racing Testing LabEach way betting – a background
How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd .
By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour.
Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus.
1) we select only from 8/9 runner races
2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection . A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.
On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place.
3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.
This is the background behind the selections you will find here.
Make sure you check the place only terms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.
Yesterday
615 goodwood Betting forecast: 9/4 Arethusa, 7/2 Persun, 5/1 Gleneely Girl, 11/2 Lady Mascot, 6/1 Sallabeh, 14/1 Showcard, 16/1 Cajoling, 20/1 Rosie Royale.
usual Lady Mascot – 5th 13.29
speculative Showcard – 8th 22.47
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720 goodwood Betting forecast: 5/4 Moscato, 5/1 Nelson Of The Nile, 6/1 Arcamante, 6/1 Frederic Chopin, 8/1 Oakbank, 16/1 Mr Wickfield, 20/1 Hopeigetlucky, 20/1 Rookery.
usual Frederic Chopin – 1st 10.97 win and 2.5 place
speculative Mr Wickfield – 7th 46.35
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530 hamilton Betting forecast: Evs White Vin Jan, 5/1 Smart Stepper, 6/1 Indian Champ, 8/1 Saltarello, 12/1 Bahango, 12/1 Penalty Scorer, 25/1 Call Me Crockett, 25/1 Spirit Of The Sea, 33/1 Cabbies Lou.
usual Saltarello – head 2nd 7.17 win and 2.24 place
speculative Penalty scorer – 6th 21
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815 killarney Betting forecast: 5/2 Jamesmicheal, 3/1 Discover Wexford, 3/1 Little Jimmy Brown, 4/1 Hard Fought, 8/1 Killabraher Cross, 12/1 Carvelas, 20/1 Fairy Field, 66/1 Ginger Quill.
usual Hard fought – 2nd 4.2 win and 1.45 place
speculative Carvelas – 5th 55
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800 newcastle Betting forecast: 7/4 Better Chance, 7/2 Aphrilis, 4/1 Abbotsfield, 5/1 Cash Is King, 8/1 Nonagon, 20/1 Llandanwg, 25/1 Katies Joy, 33/1 Patron Of Explores.
usual Cash is king – 2nd 5.9 win and 1.58 place
speculative Nonagon – non runner
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230 york Betting forecast: 9/4 Cavalryman, 100/30 Pale Mimosa, 7/2 Estimate, 8/1 High Jinx, 8/1 Times Up, 10/1 Certerach, 14/1 Forgotten Voice, 20/1 Angel Gabrial.
usual Estimate – 2nd 6.66 win and 2 place
speculative Certerach – 7th 19.8
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Today
450 cartmel Betting forecast: 9/4 Mia´s Anthem, 4/1 Solway Dornal, 9/2 Urban Gale, 5/1 Cool Star, 9/1 Oh Right, 10/1 Finch Flyer, 14/1 Wizards Dust, 16/1 Get Ready To Go, 50/1 Feeling Peckish.
usual Cool star
speculative Finch flyer
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310 curragh Betting forecast: 11/4 Gordon Lord Byron, 3/1 Maarek, 5/1 Hamza, 7/1 Russian Soul, 17/2 An Saighdiur, 17/2 Jamesie, 10/1 Majestic Queen, 16/1 Gathering Power, 16/1 Leitir Mor.
usual Russian Soul
speculative Jamesie
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525 curragh Betting forecast: 100/30 Breathe Easy, 7/2 Shalamzar, 4/1 Shalaman, 9/2 Sea The Lion, 11/2 Stony Grey, 9/1 Goal, 16/1 Focas Mor, 20/1 Valbucca.
usual Sea the Lion
speculative Goal
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220 goodwood Betting forecast: 9/4 Efflorescence, 11/4 Malabar, 5/1 Publilia, 8/1 Zifena, 10/1 Astrelle, 10/1 Mystic And Artist, 14/1 Bonnie Grey, 25/1 East Coast Lady, 25/1 What A Party.
usual Astrelle
speculative Bonnie Grey
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330 goodwood Betting forecast: 2/1 Captain Cat, 7/2 Hors De Combat, 6/1 Chil The Kite, 7/1 Bow Creek, 10/1 Master Carpenter, 10/1 Producer, 14/1 Belgian Bill, 20/1 What About Carlo, 40/1 Emell.
usual Chil the Kite
speculative Producer
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145 killarney Betting forecast: 4/6 Solatentif, 9/4 Pyromaniac, 8/1 Tempo Mac, 14/1 Kennady, 14/1 Queen´s Ballerina, 14/1 Streak, 20/1 Zarafina, 50/1 Balkinstown, 66/1 Lady Aoife.
usual Tempo Mac
speculative Streak
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505 killarney Betting forecast: 10/11 Appy Days, 11/2 B C´s Pride, 11/2 Railway Rule, 13/2 Flight Plan, 10/1 Trainstation, 12/1 Black N White, 25/1 Steel Wave, 33/1 Brogine.
usual Flight Plan
speculative Black n White
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210 newmarket Betting forecast: 3/1 Wonder Of Qatar, 4/1 Encore D´or, 4/1 Waady, 11/2 Henley, 13/2 Astrophysics, 13/2 Wet Sail, 8/1 Rahmah, 20/1 Manofmanytalents, 33/1 Zamperini.
usual Henley
speculative Rahmah
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730 redcar Betting forecast: 5/2 Soiree D´ete, 7/2 Bentons Lad, 4/1 Modify, 11/2 Little Bruv, 6/1 Major Rowan, 10/1 Crakehall Lad, 14/1 Two B´s, 25/1 Petite Madame.
usual Major Rowan
speculative Two B’s
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645 windsor Betting forecast: 6/5 Al Kazeem, 11/4 True Story, 6/1 Bayrir, 12/1 Zambucca, 14/1 Complicit, 14/1 Gifted Girl, 14/1 Truth Or Dare, 33/1 Presburg.
usual Zambucca
speculative Gifted girl
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