Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 21st September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

210 catterick Betting forecast: 11/8 Midlander, 7/4 Doppler Effect, 9/2 Kyllach Me, 1st 1.52
245 catterick Betting forecast: 11/8 Flash Fire, 9/4 Fast Charlie, 9/2 Madamoiselle Bond, 1st 1.19
200 listowel Betting forecast: 4/5 Plan A, 2/1 Blacklough, 5/1 Old Laxey, 1st 1.12

Today

10 530 plumpton Betting forecast: 2/1 Dorry K, 2/1 Saint Helena, 5/1 Prettyasapicture