Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 20th October 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

400 cork Betting forecast: 5/2 Lots Of Memories, 4/1 Blacklough, 5/1 The Crafty Butcher, 13/2 Band Of Blood, 8/1 Rawnaq, 8/1 Subtle Ben, 10/1 Benemeade, 10/1 Painted Lady, 14/1 The King Of Brega.
usual Band of Blood  – 1st 5.3 win and 2 place
speculative Painted Lady – 7th 24
215 kempton Betting forecast: 13/8 All Set To Go, 9/4 Stars Over The Sea, 5/1 Gladstone, 13/2 Ravenous, 10/1 Princess Ombu, 14/1 Maid Of Tuscany, 33/1 Softly She Treads, 40/1 Village Cricket.
usual Gladstone  – 6th 4.99
speculative Maid of Tuscany – 2nd 38 win and 5.69 place

Today

410 ponterfact Betting forecast: 6/4 Galuppi, 5/2 Shuriken, 5/1 The New Pharaoh, 6/1 Instant Karma, 14/1 Harmonical, 20/1 Moorsholm, 25/1 Dj Gerry, 25/1 Wiskee Lil, 40/1 Rising Rainbow.
usual The New Pharoah
speculative Harmonical

 

A potential 2 horse race here so we may be onto a losing position already. But these races are great if one, or both , of the market leaders under -performs