Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

Yesterday

335 fairyhouse Betting forecast: Evs Arkwrisht, 7/2 Aengus, 4/1 Dallas Cowboy, 10/1 Oscar´swan, 14/1 Cappacon, 20/1 Brave Love, 20/1 Germany John, 33/1 Brother Gold, 50/1 Toushan.

usual Dallas Cowboy  – non runner
speculative Cappacon – 2nd 19.5 win and 2.56 place
1220 hexham Betting forecast: 7/4 Sirpertan, 15/8 Deep Resolve, 13/2 Bentons Lad, 8/1 Cooking Fat, 14/1 Hatton Springs, 16/1 Cape Arrow, 16/1 Magic Shoes, 20/1 Strategic Island.
usual Bentons Lad  – 6th 8.71
speculative Hatton Springs – 2nd 150.2 win and 11.66 place

So near to another monster winner , which would have beaten my previous monster winner by 8 points. Had to settle for 2nd place though, 11.66 to place.

today

250 chepstow Betting forecast: 13/8 Johns Luck, 4/1 Always Bold, 6/1 Kapricorne, 8/1 Comical Red, 8/1 Hector´s House, 9/1 Cool Bob, 14/1 Brunette´sonly, 25/1 Landenstown Star, 33/1 Scutsisland.
usual Kapricorne
speculative Brunette’s only
440 kempton Betting forecast: 6/4 Chetan, 7/2 Rialto Magic, 9/2 Tommys Geal, 10/1 Lady Marita, 10/1 Sparbrook, 12/1 Cloak And Degas, 12/1 Recover, 25/1 Kylies Wild Card.
usual Tommys gael
speculative Coloak and Degas
340 mr Betting forecast: 11/8 Desilvano, 100/30 Multimedia, 5/1 Kerrow, 9/1 After Toniight, 9/1 Double Shuffle, 9/1 Lawless Island, 16/1 Along Came Theo, 25/1 Lukie, 33/1 Frosty Steel.
usual Kerrow
speculative Lawless island
1255 thurles Betting forecast: 8/11 Hidden Cyclone, 9/2 Home Farm, 13/2 Foildubh, 12/1 Folsom Blue, 12/1 Some Tikket, 14/1 Sadler´sflaure, 16/1 Letter Of Credit, 25/1 Maggio.
usual Home farm
speculative Some tikket