Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 19th May 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

715 leicester Betting forecast: 15/8 Cry Fury, 11/4 Pearl Ransom, 4/1 World Record, 5/1 Sublimation, 12/1 Beau Sparkle, 20/1 Mertesacker, 25/1 Lexington Blue, 33/1 Cerise Firth, 33/1 Drastic Art.
usual World Record 1st 6.05 win and 1.45 place
speculative Beau Sparkle non runner

320 redcar Betting forecast: 6/4 Highest Quality, 3/1 As Good As Gold, 4/1 Quite Smart, 7/1 Lady Estella, 10/1 Clara Schumann, 12/1 Sea Of Green, 100/1 Arousal, 100/1 Outlaw Kate.
usual Quite Smart 1st 2.54 win and 1.19 place
speculative Clara Schumann 6th 14.5

240 towcester Betting forecast: 11/8 Fairlee Grey, 7/2 Gallic Destiny, 5/1 Little Mix, 6/1 Twelve Strings, 7/1 Masterplan, 16/1 Alongthewatchtower, 50/1 Coxwell Crofter, 50/1 Fort Gabriel.
usual Little Mix 1st 11 win and 2.26 place
speculative Masterplan pu 3.55

340 towcester Betting forecast: 2/1 Knight Bachelor, 5/1 Iora Glas, 6/1 Astaroland, 7/1 Maller Tree, 8/1 Heroes Or Ghosts, 9/1 Miss Sassypants, 10/1 Bathwick Man, 14/1 Bayley´s Dream, 20/1 Run On Sterling.
usual Astaroland non runner
speculative Miss Sassypants 3rd 17.42 win and 3.55 place

Today

920 chelmsford Betting forecast: 7/4 Scrutinise, 3/1 Grey´s Angel, 4/1 Aussie Berry, 5/1 Persiflage, 14/1 Kenobe Star, 14/1 Lunar Logic, 25/1 Bombalurina, 50/1 Harps Of Bretagne.
usual Persiflage
speculative Lunar Logic
830 na Betting forecast: 11/8 Current Event, 7/2 Ballytober, 4/1 Delta Borget, 17/2 King Of Alcatraz, 10/1 Bermuda Boy, 12/1 Swallows Delight, 20/1 Findlay´s Find, 25/1 Fine Resolve.
usual Delta Borget
speculative Bermuda Boy
320 newcastle Betting forecast: 11/10 Making Shapes, 7/2 Dominada, 4/1 Alshaahraman, 9/1 Danny O´ruairc, 14/1 Sisyphus, 16/1 Desktop, 25/1 Dubai Celebrity, 33/1 Cymraeg Bounty, 100/1 Joey Black.
usual Alshaahraman
speculative Sisyphus