Nice to get the winner of the St Ledger last weekend, despite the bigger-odds Aidan O’Brien pick not placing.
The quality continues this Saturday at Newbury, with the highlight being the Mill Reef Stakes, and at Ayr (weather permitting) with the Gold Cup.
The Mill Reef Stakes is a 10-runner race this Saturday at 14:50. I do like 8/9-runner races from an each way perspective, but under certain circumstances, I’m happy to stretch to 10 runners.
Here is some free analysis of the Mill Reef Stakes: http://trendyrich.com/g2flat/millreef/.
Five favourites have won the last six runnings of the Mill Reef. The current favourite is Invincible Army who, if retaining odds of around 11/4, is still backable each way for me.
With the SP of the biggest-priced winner at 10/1 in the last ten years, I would look at horses like Nebo and Lansky each way.
My close show-biz pal Ryan Moore rides Nebo and given he done tremendous last weekend, he might be the choice along with Invincible Army each way.
Whatever your play in the Mill Reef, I would recommend each way betting. If the outsiders Helvetian and Rebel Streak can be discounted, we will have a competitive field of eight runners. I would pick two of the remaining eight in order to increase my chances of success!
Some great trends for the Ayr Gold Cup at 15:45 can be found here: https://juicestorm.com/horse-racing/2017-ayr-gold-cup-betting-trends-tips/.
This is a 25-runner race and impossible to make a confident prediction about.
The biggest-priced winner since 2005 has been a 20/1 horse. Only one favourite has won since 2002.
Growl, Mr. Lupton and Eastern Impact are my three horses each way here. Why have I chosen these three? Well I split the field into three sections and chose a horse from each section.
Skybet offer six places here for each way betting. Betfair will offer enhanced Place markets too.
Good luck with your play!
Before I go, a quick mention about the Champions League: teams in the Champions League tend to drop points (or are more likely to) in league matches prior to Champions League matches.
The Champions League returns mid-week, so if you wanted a play on any team mentioned at this page
https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/season=2018/standings/index.html, then do so in the knowledge that the likes of Bayern Munich, Dortmund, Liverpool, Manchester United, Basel, Anderlecht, and more besides, all struggled in the league the last time they had a Champions League match.
Watch out for teams playing away from home, such as Tottenham, Manchester United, Chelsea, Liverpool, PSG, Napoli, Celtic, Sevilla, Real Madrid and Barcelona. I would be very surprised if all of these teams won their matches this weekend.
One exception: Real Madrid should win having drawn two and lost one of their last four matches. If there is a market for new manager Real Madrid, I would have a cheeky back on Zidane being sacked.
I would actually lay any of the above named sides if they scored first this weekend (perhaps bar Real Madrid).
From the Champions League to Scotland!
Yes quite a leap, but there is money in them thar Highlands. The Scotsman specialises in Scottish football and all of its leagues, and has been making a great season-long profit from the 2015/2016, 2016/2017 seasons, and (so far) in this 2017/2018 season.
I do think if you find a niche and specialise in it, you can get a head-start on the punter who sometimes stumbles into the leagues. If he can continue this excellent two-and-a-bit season profit, then the Scotsman is well worth following. Look out for the exciting offer landing in your inboxes tomorrow!