Last week, Man City faltered; Arsenal got the win; 0-0 good-call Huddersfield; Leicester sneaked it 1-2; Liverpool won halftime/fulltime; Watford 2-1 (not 2-2, alas); and Chelsea 1-2 (not 1-3, alas) – so some good calls! What’s in store this weekend?
Three clean-sheet-wins Liverpool must feel confident away at Leicester. But two 90th-minute winners for Leicester so far. If Liverpool are alive defensively for 90 minutes, it could be 0-1 or 0-2.
Goals of 3-3-2 in three wins for Chelsea. Bit lucky. Bournemouth are unbeaten, scoring two minimum. But Bournemouth have conceded two penalties. With Hazard in Chelsea’s time, back a penalty today? Nine out of ten defeats vs top-five last season for Bournemouth suggests Chelsea will edge it – 1.29 odds more layable than backable for me, given possible Bournemouth defensive strengthening.
Two consecutive losses for Palace and Saints. The Saints’ forward line suspect – 0-1-1 scored. Palace scored 2+ in four of their last five at home last season… 2-1? Lay Saints if they score first?
Brighton vs Fulham is too tough. A win and two losses for both sides. Neither side has a 0-0 at halftime this season.
Three of three losses for West Ham, albeit against Arsenal and Liverpool as opponents. 2-0 away loss for Wolves against Leicester. Neither side has had a clean sheet this season. Other than that, tough to call.
Tough start for Huddersfield vs two top-five teams, then 0-0 vs Cardiff. I cannot see Huddersfield scoring two goals, so if scoring first, I would back Everton. Results of 2-2, 2-1 and 2-2 for Everton. Conceding goals then, and a 2-1 win at home. I can see Everton scoring two goals again – 2-0 and 2-1 therefore.
No value in City vs Newcastle. Unless you go win-to-nil, 3-0, 3-1, or any other home result. It’s must-win territory already for Man City, slipping up last weekend.
Cardiff is still an unknown. I would expect a tight Arsenal win. 1-2?
Burnley vs Man Utd – the battle of ‘first to be sacked’? Burnley are out of the Europa League now. A weight off the manager’s mind. I expect a tighter-ship Burnley. Back 0-0 pre-match? Cash out halftime if 0-0?
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New balls please!
It’s the usual disappointment for the Brits in the US Open. Have you been able to follow it? A 16:00 start, given the time differences.
Grand Slam tennis should be on your radar. It really is a great vehicle for in-play betting. That is the key word with tennis: in-play
I have shared strategies in eletters in the past. The key is waiting for unseeded players to start taking sets of seeded players. Then back said seeded players at better odds in-play. Hey presto, you get a value bet!
Remember in men’s tennis in a Grand Slam, it’s best of five sets – so plenty opportunity for a fight back.
Above is a clear-cut (and silly hair-cut) example.
Kyrgios, 1.2 favourite, lost the first set 4-6. He struggled in the second set to win in a tie-breaker.
Herbert led 0-3 in the second set, so you could have backed Kyrgios a-set-and-a-break-down at odds far better than the measly 1.2.
He won three sets on the bounce.
Please remember Grand Slam tennis. It really is a profitable betting vehicle.