British interest in the Australian Open tennis ended as Marin Cilic defeated Kyle Edmund in three straight sets yesterday.
This also ends my interest in tennis trading in the Grand Slam, as matches become far tighter and tougher to decipher.
I have come away from the Australian Open with some great examples of how you can back world-top-ten players at double-figure odds and still win!!
The Wozza example from last week’s eletter was the template you should follow. And would you believe it, our Wozza is in the final of the Australian Open! And to think she was a point loss away from leaving the tournament.
It’s Halep vs Wozniacki in the final and I will be laying Simona Halep if she wins the first set. In fact, there is an argument for laying the first-set winner. This final has three sets written all over it!
Each-way ker-ching moments
That is a catchy title. If my musical career takes off, I will call my first album ‘each-way ker-ching moments’.
I mention each-ways because, yet again, my each-way strategy (which I have shared with you for free in these here eletters) done tremendous and gave 110% this week.
On 19th January, I selected a 5.88-odds winner, a 41.28-odds winner and a 14.5 winner (19th January is my new favourite day).
These winners were arrived at through my simple logical approach to each-way horse racing betting.
No form analysis – no, none of that malarkey.
Simply do the following:
- Choose races with the smallest fields which pay out three places ( each way betting is win and place betting).
- Make sure there’s a short-priced favourite. (We want it to under perform – and they do!)
- Make sure there is a noticeable gap to the second-favourite.
- Make sure there are a smattering of outsiders. (By outsiders I would look at horses at odds of 25/1 or higher in the Racing Post Betting Forecast.)
- Pick two selections in a race from those horses between the odds-on favourite and the outsiders.
Your success will rely upon the odds-on favourite not winning. For instance, that 41.28-odds winner beat a 1/2-odds favourite!
Try it out yourself. No knowledge of horse racing required! Oh, and use Betfair SP to place your bets. That 41.28-odds winner (decimal odds Betfair SP) was only a 20/1 winner with Industry SP (the thieving bar stewards).
It’s only blinking Cheltenham…
There’s a cracking race meeting at Cheltenham this Saturday, seeing predominantly Grade 2 and 3 races. Top-class stuff. With the race meeting shown on ITV, I thought I would share with you the strongest trends for each race on Saturday 27th January.
12:40 Cheltenham
Look out for horses which:
- Finished first or second last time out.
- Raced within the last 50 days.
- Came from the top-three in the betting.
13:15 Cheltenham
Look out for horses which:
- Are aged 8 or younger.
- Have won up to two races over fences in the UK.
- Are priced at 13/2 or lower in the betting.
- Finished first or second last time out.
13:50 Cheltenham
Look out for horses which:
- Have won over a distance of 2 miles 5 furlongs in the past.
- Are 9/1 odds or shorter.
- Have won up to four times.
- Were top four last time out.
- Have a rating of at least 130.
- Are aged 8 years, at least.
- Have ran within last 32 days.
- Have previously ran at Cheltenham.
14:25 Cheltenham
Look out for horses which:
- Are rated 151 OR at least.
- Have raced within the last 56 days.
- Have won up to six times over fences.
- Have previously ran at Cheltenham.
- Have run at a distance of 3 miles, at least.
15:35 Cheltenham
Look for horses which:
- Are aged 9 or younger.
- Have ran within the last 56 days.
- Have three wins over hurdles, at least.
- Have previous Cheltenham experience.
- Are rated 155 OR at least
16:10 Cheltenham
Look for horses which:
- Are rated 121 at least.
- Have run within 63 days.
- Are 8/1 or lower in the betting.
- Have up to three wins over hurdles.
- Have previous Cheltenham experience.
- Are top three in the betting.
As the races are on ITV, and if you are so inclined, you can do some digging using the race cards at www.racingpost.com to shortlist for each race. There are no odds available for me at the moment, otherwise I’d do it for you (honest, guv).
Do remember over at What Really Wins Money, we do a Cheltenham Special Newsletter in February for the big March festival.
No better time to sign up and get some great statistical info and form analysis on every major race at the festival.
We also tend to come out of the festival with some Guinness tokens at the end of it!