4th favourites in 8 runner races – big profits – part 2

I will continue my look at 4^th favourites in 8 runner races. Please remember that this statistical look is predominantly to determine if we can operate a stand-alone each-way strategy based on 4^th favourites.

The profit figures I give you are for win only, but imagine the amount of times these selections finish 2^nd and 3^rd. We will actually get a return for each 2^nd and 3^rd when betting each-way. The odds for 4^th favourites will be quite good too.

So let’s finalise the stats from last week.

Race Classification

Maidens, Mares and Conditional Jockeys races are the ones to focus on. 85, 70 and 60 points profits to Betfair SP backing 4^th favourite in 8 runner race types like these.

Race Qualification

4-6 year old races stand out. 107 points profit to Betfair SP . 3 year old races 85+ rated are next best with 70 points profit.

Actual going.

Standard leads the way, with 103 points profit to Betfair SP. No surprise as the all-weather and Wolverhampton dominated venue types

Good to Soft is next best with 86 points profit.

Headgear

4^th favourites in 8 runner races wearing blinkers has turned a 151 point profit to Betfair SP.

Pace

Leaders are key. 1211 points profit to Betfair SP when 4^th favourites in 8 runner races are characterised as leaders.

Days since last run

15 days since last run again turns a 3 figure profit. 110 points profit to Betfair SP

27 and 21 days are next with 86 and 84 points profit.

Draw

As the all-weather is the outstanding area for backing 4^th favourites in 8 runner races, let’s look at the draw.

Those drawn in stall 5 see 101 points profit. Stall 1 is next best with 75 points profit.

Trainer

Mick Easterby stands out with 79 points profit to Betfair SP, and an impressive 102 points profit to Industry SP. I see a lot of 2^nd and 3^rd places so Easterby horses backed each-way may pay out well

Jockey

Luke Morris, Tony Hamilton and Robert Havlin have 85, 71 and 69 points profit to Betfair SP over the last 10 years, on 4^th favourites in 8 runner races.

The next step will be to not only look at winning 4^th favourites in 8 runner races, but to find which of the above win only angles produces the best percentage of placed horses. That’s the key to each-way success!