Racing Testing LabI wrote an article for my eletter on this subject, focussing on Banker Bets and showing you how we can profit from them.
I’ll list some apparent “bankers” in this post, and time permitting, will try to do this daily. I try to look for 1.1 odds or higher. The goal is to win back your initial stake and bank that immediately, then play on, banking profits every £10 or so.
This is not a strategy where I’m trying to create the biggest odds returns. I want a “banker”, a bet which is obvious.
Bankers and Blowouts – the mini-DRT angle.
www.drt.club is my trading service where I do all of my football research. I have noticed that these bankers, whilst sometimes frustrating us with score draws and throwing away 2-0 leads, rarely lose matches. How can you profit? Well are you familiar with football trading? That is, reacting to how a match unfolds in-play? If you are then you would have taken on faith the fact that these bankers rarely lose, and layed Dundee in play , when they were 1-3 up to bankers Aberdeen. Final score ( as you see below), 3-3. How about more frustrating bar stewards like Club Brugge the other day against Mechelen.
Staying with our premis that Bankers rarely lose, what could you have done if Mechelen ( as they did) take the lead? Lay Mechelen! Better yet, what if the match was still 0-1 coming to 90 minutes? Lay Mechelen at lower odds for potentially greater profit! You know what happened next, I am sure. Club Brugge equalised in the 90th minute.
I have already mentioned the idea of laying a team 2-0 up, to lock in profit. Consider the above elements too , in order to maximise the premis that Bankers rarely lose.
Just an added note regarding staking. If the strike rate remains as high as it is, I would recommend staying with level stakes, but re-calculating every 20 bets which would have produced a bank of 747 pounds from an initial 100 pounds in November. Increasing the frequency to re-calculating 10% of the betting bank every 10 bets does extract a little more profit.
Plenty to ponder there. If you increase the % of bank bet, of course, then things really start getting exciting ( but ever the cautious, I’d have to warn you that it would be a big fall from grace if we hit a losing run)
At this juncture, level stakes is the only realistic staking option as some bets kick off at the same time. If you wanted other options, then select one bet at one time, as long as the next bet began after the 1st bet ended. This way you could employ “reactive” staking.
By selecting one bet for a specific time, the number of bets reduces from 225 to 137. Is there any advantage in reactive staking? Let’s take a look.
http://www.thestakingmachine.com/pro.php is the staking plan of interest, betting 20% of the bank ( as the assumed strike rate will continue to be high), turned 100 pounds on 22 November 2014 into 1356.48 as of today. ( as you can tell I don’t have apound sign on my keyboard lol).
We can employ a higher risk staking I think with assumed higher strike rate strategies. If doing , I would strongly urge you to withdraw initial seed money once the bank has doubled to allow you to employ these higher risk strategies using OPM – other people’s money.
Yesterday
April Fool’s Day yesterday I think. South Korea though managed a last gasp winner against New Zealand, Portugal lost 0-2 to Cape Verde Islands ( 1.1 odds out to 1.37 before the off suggests Portugal played the tea ladies in defence and the kit man up top), Russia ended 0-0 and Turkey needed an 88th minute winner against Luxembourg. Turkey incidentally were backable at odds of 6.6 and higher before they scored!! There were NO OFFICIAL BETS yesterday
Today
If you could see the in-play coupon today you’d weep. The only match of interest is
630pm – Kickers Offenbach v Zweibrucken – 1.17 home – this is top v bottom in the sudwest German Regionalliga.
Kickers are unbeaten in 23 matches and are unbeaten in their last 17 home matches, winning 13 of those, drawing 3 0-0 and 1 1-1
Zweibrucken are on a 7 match losing streak , failing to score in 6 of those matches. Do note that their last 3 losses were 1-0 only, suggesting competitiveness but lacking an attacker of any worth.
So this match does meet my criteria from the following perspective.
- a home side unbeaten in 17 matches at home, and 23 overall suggesting our focus is on the home win or the draw.
- an away side failing to score . Teams failing to score can only hope for a 0-0 as salvation.
I’ll give it a miss today. I am put off by the 3 consecutive 1-0 losses for Zweibrucken. If they do score and stay tight, we’ll be in trouble. I am being a bit too cautious I think. But we have the weekend coming up. The last time I went to a lower league ( Sheffield United) they cocked it up.