Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 8th October 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

535 ludlow Betting forecast: 2/1 Yes I Did, 100/30 Tullow Tonic, 5/1 Fizzy Dancer, 6/1 Tara´s Honour, 7/1 Orbit Light, 8/1 Lamanver Alchemy, 25/1 Alizee Javilex, 25/1 Miss Mash, 50/1 The Little Red Fox.
usual Tara’s Honour  – 4th 5.96
speculative Lamanver Alchemy – 5th 30

Not speculative enough yesterday as the horse next to lamanver in the Betting forecast, Alizee Javilex, won at a massive 91 ! What a pity.

Today

810 chelms Betting forecast: 2/1 Tartoor, 5/1 In Pursuit, 5/1 Miss Giler, 6/1 Catsbury, 6/1 Indian Monsoon, 10/1 Drago, 12/1 Lord Reason, 25/1 Ladurelli, 50/1 Texas Scramble.
usual Miss Giler
speculative Drago
440 exeter Betting forecast: 4/5 Abidjan, 11/4 Angus Glens, 11/2 Silver Dixie, 8/1 Menace, 25/1 New Reaction, 33/1 Ghost Runner, 66/1 Culm Counsellor, 100/1 Jopaan.
usual Angus Glens
speculative Menace
235 worcester Betting forecast: 6/4 My Nosy Rosy, 4/1 Ashcott Boy, 6/1 Samtheman, 8/1 The Purchaser, 10/1 Mon Chevalier, 10/1 Mount Vesuvius, 12/1 The Informant, 14/1 Cool Bob, 50/1 Stafford Charlie.
usual Samtheman
speculative The Informant
450 worcester Betting forecast: Evs Fingerontheswitch, 3/1 Ballydine, 4/1 Ballybane, 7/1 Florida Calling, 20/1 Daulys Anthem, 20/1 Fire, 100/1 Boxatrix, 100/1 Double Court, 100/1 Millksheikh.
usual Ballydine
speculative Florida calling