2 Horse Race Placers

Selections for Saturday 5th September 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Saturday 5th September 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

11 655 kempton Betting forecast: 13/8 Dark Shot, 3/1 Silent Attack, 6/1 Nokhada 7th 1.3
3 725 kempton Betting forecast: 4/6 Sun´aq, 11/8 Al Shahaniya, 14/1 Windmills Girl. 2nd 1.65 1.05
8 435 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 6/4 Comehere Hi, 2/1 Sam King, 11/2 Meadowlands, ur 1.23
6 220 newcastle Betting forecast: 4/5 Grand Beauty, 2/1 Malvia, 10/1 Freeze The Secret, 1st 1.1

Today

5 455 haydock Betting forecast: 13/8 Manaafidh, 15/8 Foundation, 5/1 Champagne City,
8 405 kempton Betting forecast: 7/4 King Of Rooks, 2/1 Rouleau, 9/2 Tutu Nguru,