Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 5th October 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

225 huntingdon Betting forecast: 2/1 Tangolan, 4/1 Bertie´s Desire, 4/1 Shockingtimes, 7/1 Milgen Bay, 8/1 Golanova, 8/1 King´s Legacy, 20/1 Here I Am, 25/1 Giant O Murchu.
usual Milgen Bay  – 4th 14
speculative Golanove – 7th 7.96
235 kelso Betting forecast: 11/10 Summer Storm, 5/2 Sindarban, 5/1 Bowdler´s Magic, 10/1 Beechroad Ally, 16/1 Parlour Of Dreams, 20/1 Housewives Choice, 25/1 Ethan, 33/1 Centre Haafhd, 33/1 Slide Show.
usual Bowdler’s Magic  – 2nd 5.4 win and 1.68 place
speculative Beechroad Ally – 4th 5.3
415 tipperary Betting forecast: 11/10 Bachasson, 9/2 Tigris River, 11/2 Cardinal Palace, 7/1 Moonmeister, 8/1 Tully East, 10/1 Three Stars, 16/1 Fill Your Hands, 25/1 Rocky Court.
usual Cardinal Palace  – 3rd 16.22 win and 1.92 place
speculative Moonmeister – 4th 41.81

Today

455 mr Betting forecast: 5/2 Alf ´n´ Dor, 11/4 Mahlerdramatic, 6/1 Cupachai, 6/1 Golden Thread, 6/1 Off The Cuff, 7/1 Canton Prince, 25/1 Breath Of Life, 33/1 Bling Noir.
usual Golden Thread
speculative Off the Cuff