2 Horse Race Placers

Selections for Monday 5th October 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 5th October 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

4 150 hunt Betting forecast: 1/3 Maputo, 3/1 Regulation, 10/1 Jarlath, 1st 1.03
8 305 huntingdon Betting forecast: 7/4 Consortium, 5/2 Cahill, 11/2 Philba, 2nd 1.15
11 510 hunt Betting forecast: 5/4 Walpole, 7/2 Passmore, 9/1 Culture De Sivola, 1st and 2nd 1.5
9 235 kelso Betting forecast: 11/10 Summer Storm, 5/2 Sindarban, 5/1 Bowdler´s Magic, 3rd 1.22
8 545 tipperary Betting forecast: Evs Oathkeeper, Evs Prince D´aubrelle, 16/1 Lockeen Girl, 2nd 1.08

Today

6 515 ponte Betting forecast: 10/11 Amazing Speed, 5/2 Dinaria, 9/2 Somethingthrilling,