2 Horse Race Placers

Selections for Friday 4th September 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 4th September 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 430 clonmel Betting forecast: 5/4 Listen Dear, 2/1 Spicy Fruity, 9/2 Won Diamond, 1st 1.19
8 730 clonmel Betting forecast: 8/11 Simiel, 5/2 Bobarlee, 11/2 Bowenscourt, 2nd 1.15
8 715 chelmsford Betting forecast: 11/8 Sky Cape, 11/4 Cryptonym, 7/1 Syncopate, 2nd 1.2
9 200 haydock Betting forecast: 7/4 Star Storm, 9/4 Goathland, 5/1 Our Thomas, 1st 1.19
7 345 salisbury Betting forecast: 7/4 Mayfair Lady, 9/4 Whatdoiwantthatfor, 9/2 La Rioja, 4th 1.47
5 450 salsibury Betting forecast: 5/4 Flying Officer, 7/4 Melodious, 9/2 Cinnilla 1st 1.23

Today

11 655 kempton Betting forecast: 13/8 Dark Shot, 3/1 Silent Attack, 6/1 Nokhada
3 725 kempton Betting forecast: 4/6 Sun´aq, 11/8 Al Shahaniya, 14/1 Windmills Girl.
8 435 kilbeggan Betting forecast: 6/4 Comehere Hi, 2/1 Sam King, 11/2 Meadowlands,
6 220 newcastle Betting forecast: 4/5 Grand Beauty, 2/1 Malvia, 10/1 Freeze The Secret,