Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 4th October 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

330 nmkt Betting forecast: 11/8 Esoterique, 7/2 Integral, 6/1 Bawina, 11/1 Realtra, 12/1 Fadhayyil, 12/1 Maimara, 14/1 Irish Rookie, 16/1 Malabar, 25/1 Raydara.
usual Bawina  – 6th 8.84
speculative Maimara – 7th 15.5
405 nmkt Betting forecast: Evs Schubert, 4/1 Carntop, 6/1 Bluebeard, 8/1 Algometer, 9/1 Long Call, 10/1 Weather Front, 20/1 Free Bounty, 100/1 Marthambles, 100/1 Mooizo.
usual Bluebeard  – 3rd 7.99 win and 1.51 place
speculative Long Call – 6th 33.92
440 nmkt Betting forecast: 10/11 Leah Freya, 6/1 Moonlight Sonata, 7/1 Lemoncetta, 8/1 Endless Time, 10/1 Spacelab, 12/1 Twitch, 16/1 Martiniquaise, 16/1 Statsminister, 20/1 Stockhill Diva.
usual Lemoncetta  – 3rd 11.88 win and 3.03 place
speculative Spacelab – 4th 24.28
445 redcar Betting forecast: 11/8 Piccadilly Jim, 6/4 Jakodima, 8/1 Solid Justice, 10/1 Rewritten, 20/1 Look Here´s Al, 25/1 Naval Action, 33/1 Clever Love, 33/1 Gabrial The Boss.
usual Solid Justice – 4th 10.5
speculative Rewritten – 7th 19.26

Today

225 huntingdon Betting forecast: 2/1 Tangolan, 4/1 Bertie´s Desire, 4/1 Shockingtimes, 7/1 Milgen Bay, 8/1 Golanova, 8/1 King´s Legacy, 20/1 Here I Am, 25/1 Giant O Murchu.
usual Milgen Bay
speculative Golanove
235 kelso Betting forecast: 11/10 Summer Storm, 5/2 Sindarban, 5/1 Bowdler´s Magic, 10/1 Beechroad Ally, 16/1 Parlour Of Dreams, 20/1 Housewives Choice, 25/1 Ethan, 33/1 Centre Haafhd, 33/1 Slide Show.
usual Bowdler’s Magic
speculative Beechroad Ally
415 tipperary Betting forecast: 11/10 Bachasson, 9/2 Tigris River, 11/2 Cardinal Palace, 7/1 Moonmeister, 8/1 Tully East, 10/1 Three Stars, 16/1 Fill Your Hands, 25/1 Rocky Court.
usual Cardinal Palace
speculative Moonmeister