Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Saturday 4th July 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

810 bellewstown Betting forecast: 4/5 Rio Treasure, 6/4 Hisaabaat, 10/1 The Scourge, 25/1 Armed Guard, 33/1 Arabic Scientist, 33/1 Mighty Whitey, 33/1 Verney Boy, 50/1 Glasson Lad.
usual The Scourge 4th 13.91
speculative Armed Guard 8th 26.84

800 haydock Betting forecast: 13/8 Jayjinski, 7/2 Haalick, 4/1 Shadow Game, 7/1 Midhmaar, 10/1 Antioco, 14/1 Airton, 14/1 Planetaria, 33/1 Flanders Flame, 50/1 Ideal Recruit.
usual Haalick 1st 4.18 win and 1.91 place
speculative Antioco 5th 10.21

430 sandown Betting forecast: 2/1 Suddyan, 7/2 Karraar, 7/1 Burano, 8/1 I´m Fraam Govan, 8/1 Spa´s Dancer, 10/1 Rydan, 12/1 Fruit Pastille, 12/1 London Citizen, 20/1 Tom Hark.
usual Karraar 1st 4.8 win and 1.72 place
speculative Rydan non runner

Usual’s are winning so far in July. I await a run from the speculatives. That’s where the big bucks are.

Today

755 bellewstown Betting forecast: 2/1 Tesseract, 3/1 Roconga, 7/2 Supreme Vinnie, 11/2 Hold Hard, 8/1 Try And Try Again, 16/1 Ah Littleluck, 20/1 Right Turn Clive, 33/1 Angel Sue, 33/1 Scenic Star.
usual Supreme Vinnie
speculative Try and Try Again
445 beverley Betting forecast: 9/4 Sampera, 7/2 Casila, 4/1 Krafty One, 6/1 Missandei, 6/1 Our Kylie, 12/1 Persiflage, 14/1 Anneani, 50/1 North Bay Lady.
usual Casila
speculative Persflage