Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 3rd September 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

220 bath Betting forecast: 2/1 Doc Charm, 5/1 King Crimson, 6/1 Princess Tansy, 7/1 Honcho, 7/1 Outrage, 8/1 Rainbow Orse, 10/1 Lady Gemini, 10/1 Toni´s A Star.
usual Princess Tansy 1st 4.95 win and 1.7 place
speculative Outrage 3rd 7.2 win and 2.45 place
350 bath Betting forecast: 2/1 Shaden, 5/2 Ring Of Truth, 9/2 Show Me Again, 6/1 Silver Wings, 10/1 Star Glimmer, 10/1 Willytheconqueror, 50/1 Donttouchthechips, 50/1 Love In The Dark.
usual Show Me again non runner
speculative Star Glimmer 5th 13.01
725 gowran Betting forecast: 2/1 Cillian´s Return, 2/1 Here For The Craic, 5/2 Queen Alphabet, 14/1 Owega Star, 20/1 Now This Is It, 25/1 Meldrum Lad, 33/1 Lady Marmelo, 33/1 Red House Hill, 33/1 Thomas Ledger.
usual Queen Alphabet 2nd 3.95 win and 1.51 place
speculative Owego Star 3rd 26 win and 5.3 place
340 sthl Betting forecast: 10/11 Epic Warrior, 4/1 Presenting Streak, 11/2 Primo Capitano, 6/1 Jimmy Shan, 14/1 Little Windmill, 20/1 Fearsome Fred, 50/1 Millksheikh, 50/1 Tinkers Hill Tommy, 100/1 Falcon´s Legend.
usual Presenting Streak 2nd 4.3 win and 1.52 place
speculative Jimmy Shan 3rd 14.52 win and 3.55 place
610 worcester Betting forecast: 4/6 Hadfield, 3/1 Dylan´s Storm, 9/2 Champagne Ransom, 10/1 Big Mcintosh, 33/1 Chic Name, 66/1 Layerthorpe, 100/1 Ourlittle Senorita, 100/1 Whistler Mountain.
usual Champagne Ransom 3rd 7.76 win and 1.66 place
speculative Big Mcintosh 6th 11.5

Knocking on the door with a 1st/3rd and 2 2nd/3rds in the same race.

Today

530 clonmel Betting forecast: 5/4 High In The Clouds, 3/1 Coolfighter, 9/2 Supreme Vinnie, 5/1 Cliffside Park, 12/1 Baily Smile, 50/1 Mountain Dello, 66/1 Coleen Jess, 66/1 Rock N´stones.
usual Supreme Vinnie
speculative Baily Smile
730 clonmel Betting forecast: 8/11 Simiel, 5/2 Bobarlee, 11/2 Bowenscourt, 20/1 Messie, 25/1 On Target, 33/1 Fleurys Fort, 33/1 Heath King, 33/1 Seven Wonders.
usual Simiel
speculative Bowenscourt
715 chelmsford Betting forecast: 11/8 Sky Cape, 11/4 Cryptonym, 7/1 Syncopate, 8/1 Le Notre, 10/1 Idol Deputy, 14/1 Ocean Applause, 20/1 Patriotic, 33/1 Mirsaale.
usual Cryptonym
speculative Idol Deputy
745 chelmsford Betting forecast: 10/11 Miss Giler, 6/1 Human, 6/1 Reverent, 8/1 Allumage, 10/1 Floriane, 16/1 Hangon Harriet, 20/1 Beat The Blues, 25/1 Neath Abbey.
usual Allumage
speculative Floriane
405 haydock Betting forecast: Evs Richard Pankhurst, 7/2 Windfast, 7/1 Make It Up, 8/1 Dark Emerald, 10/1 One Word More, 20/1 Aktabantay, 20/1 Hillbilly Boy, 500/1 Bix.
usual Windfast
speculative One Word More
355 sedgefield Betting forecast: 13/8 Baby Jake, 4/1 Downtown Boy, 9/2 Swaledale Lad, 8/1 Push Me, 9/1 Tiger Twenty Two, 10/1 Dispour, 16/1 Mighty Whitey, 25/1 Sailors Warn.
usual Swaledale Lad
speculative Tiger Twenty Two