Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

645 doncaster Betting forecast: 5/2 Strong Chemistry, 7/2 Auspicion, 9/2 Gothic Empire, 7/1 Realtra, 7/1 Surewecan, 8/1 Misterioso, 10/1 Caprior Bere, 25/1 Popeswood.

usual Gothic Empire 5th 4
speculative Caprior Bere non runner

525 hexhamq Betting forecast: 13/8 Things Change, 3/1 Ueueteotl, 9/2 Take The Cash, 8/1 Rev Up Ruby, 10/1 Super Collider, 12/1 Pekanheim, 12/1 The Banastoir, 40/1 Latest Fashion.
usual Take the cash 3rd 3.79 win and 1.47 place
speculative Super Collider 2nd 25.94 win and 4.9 place

700 hexham Betting forecast: 4/6 Venue, 5/2 Parkie Boy, 13/2 Towerburn, 20/1 Solway Prince, 25/1 The Late Shift, 25/1 Vodka Moon, 33/1 My Escapade, 40/1 Destiny Awaits.
usual Towerburn 2nd 12.07 win and 1.86 place
speculative Solway Prince 6th 15

540 thirsk Betting forecast: 13/8 Birdman, 5/1 Big Storm Coming, 5/1 Trail Blaze, 7/1 Kingscroft, 8/1 Be Royale, 8/1 Evanescent, 10/1 Munfallet, 16/1 Twin Point.
usual Big Storm Coming 7th 9.53
speculative Evansecent 2nd 14 win and 3.65 place

220 uttoxeter Betting forecast: 3/1 Sureness, 4/1 Germany Calling, 9/2 Such A Legend, 6/1 Don´t Be Late, 7/1 Upsanddowns, 8/1 Paradise Valley, 10/1 Collodi, 20/1 Red Seventy, 33/1 Veroce.
usual Such a legend 2nd 4.1 win and 1.64 place
speculative Paradise valley 3rd 5.3 win and 1.95 place

Another day of plenty of placed horses so I am happy with that as it preserves the betting bank.  Birdman at Thirsk is perhaps a race I should have left alone as this horse is in great form. Still I got 2nd place so was well positioned incase Birdman did not give his running.2nd and 3rd in the 525 Hexham was pleasing.

Today

225 nmkt Betting forecast: 2/1 Fintry, 4/1 Rizeena, 5/1 Bragging, 13/2 Belle D´or, 10/1 Lady Dutch, 12/1 Longina, 14/1 Kleo, 14/1 Talmada, 16/1 Lamar.
usual Belle D’or
speculative Lady Dutch