A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

 Yesterday

9 600 hexham Betting forecast: 15/8 Bobowen, 3/1 King Of Strings, 13/2 The Ice Factor, 1st and 5th 1.26
8 700 hexham Betting forecast: 4/6 Venue, 5/2 Parkie Boy, 13/2 Towerburn, 1st 1.1
4 305 nmkt Betting forecast: 1/2 Telescope, 3/1 Pether´s Moon, 7/1 Second Step, 2nd 1.29
10 420 nmkt Betting forecast: 2/1 Twilight Son, 3/1 Desert Force, 7/1 Magical Memory 1st 1.44
10 320 thirsk Betting forecast: 13/8 Foreign Diplomat, 15/8 Akeed Champion, 6/1 Father Bertie, 1st 2.22 1.17
10 505 thirsk Betting forecast: 7/4 Legend´s Gate, 5/2 One More Go, 5/1 The Special House, 2nd 1.19

 Today

8 320 hamilton Betting forecast: 7/4 Ralphy Lad, 15/8 Silver Duke, 5/1 Latin Rebel,
7 355 hamilton Betting forecast: 5/4 Grandad´s World, 5/2 Canny Kool, 6/1 George Dryden,
9 315 salisbury Betting forecast: 7/4 Soluble, 11/4 Purple Rock, 8/1 Maxwell,
10 540 sligo Betting forecast: 11/10 Novis Adventus, 5/2 Xebec, 5/1 Torcedor,