A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses.

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 815 bellewstown Betting forecast: 2/7 Moonmeister, 7/2 Jesmond Lodge, 14/1 Crown Pleasure, 1st 1.11
4 840 newbury Betting forecast: Evs Nigel, 13/8 Senrima, 8/1 Burning Desire, 2nd 1.05
7 400 perth Betting forecast: 6/4 Honourable Gent, 2/1 Moonlight Maggie, 11/2 Bunclody, 1st and 2nd 1.92
5 530 perth Betting forecast: 1/2 Waterlord, 3/1 Touch A Million, 8/1 Miss High Time, 1st 1.35 1.15
7 555 tipperary Betting forecast: 5/4 Jealous Beauty, 3/1 Foxen, 6/1 In The Air, 4th and 6th 1.63 1.47

Today

5 510 bellewstown Betting forecast: 5/4 Fantastic Secret, 13/8 Optimism And Hope, 11/2 Bonfire Bank,
8 540 bell Betting forecast: 11/8 Lord Carleton, 7/4 Lehbab, 8/1 Walkingonmoonbeams,
8 810 bellewstown Betting forecast: 4/5 Rio Treasure, 6/4 Hisaabaat, 10/1 The Scourge,
5 645 beverley Betting forecast: Evs Excessable, 5/2 Furiant, 6/1 Lydia´s Place,
6 230 doncaster Betting forecast: Evs Don´t Call Me, 2/1 King Torus, 5/1 Pivotman,
6 830 haydock Betting forecast: 15/8 Invoke, 9/4 Mambo Fever, 5/1 Heartsong
5 900 haydock Betting forecast: 4/6 Decorated Knight, 9/4 Barsanti, 5/1 Ella´s Honour,
6 345 na Betting forecast: 2/1 Gone Too Far, 9/4 More Buck´s, 5/1 My Legal Lady,
6 250 sandown Betting forecast: 6/4 Riflescope, 6/4 Soapy Aitken, 6/1 Barbarous Relic,