Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 3rd August 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

530 galway Betting forecast: 11/10 Almela, 7/2 Posing, 6/1 Creeping Ivy, 7/1 Secundos Out, 10/1 Regal Beauty, 14/1 Nicaragua, 20/1 Lady Galio, 50/1 Ulanda.
usual Posing  – non runner
speculative Regal Beauty – 3rd 11.5 win and 1.62 place
220 mr Betting forecast: 6/4 Arabian Oasis, 6/4 Retro Valley, 7/1 Robben, 9/1 Our Kylie, 20/1 Londonia, 25/1 Wagstaff, 33/1 Toboggan´s Gift, 50/1 Boldbob, 50/1 La Vien Zen.
usual Robben  – 4th 7.2 win
speculative Our Kylie – 3/4 length 2nd 21 win and 3.25 place

Close 2nd at big odds our Kylie. I should be so lucky, lucky, lucky, lucky to get Our Kylie up for the win!!

Today

200 nott Betting forecast: 6/5 Andar, 11/2 In Ken´s Memory, 6/1 Celestial Lad, 6/1 Parkour, 7/1 That´ll Happen, 14/1 Murdanova, 14/1 Zeebee, 33/1 Broughtons Mystery, 33/1 Hymn For The Dudes.
usual Celestial Lad
speculative That’ll Happen
245 ripon Betting forecast: 15/8 Bahango, 7/2 Azerelle, 7/2 Studio Star, 7/1 Sparkling Sapphire, 8/1 Cheeky Chapman, 16/1 Macarthurs Park, 20/1 Forest Missile, 33/1 Little Polyanna.
usual Studio Star
speculative Cheeky Champion