Racing Testing Lab

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

435 chepstow Betting forecast: 5/6 Amber Gambler, 7/2 Hatton Bank, 6/1 Astre Rose, 6/1 Oskar´s Eva, 14/1 Miss Serious, 20/1 Silent Alliance, 50/1 Quincy Magoo, 50/1 Whiskey John.

usual Astre Rose  – 8th 7.79
speculative Miss Serious – 4th 21.46
735 dundalk Betting forecast: 5/2 Sheeba, 5/1 Showcard, 5/1 Surrey Pink, 6/1 Coral Cluster, 6/1 Sixtyfiveroses, 13/2 Rest Assured, 9/1 Moving On Up, 25/1 Our Man Phil.
usual Surrey Pink  – 3rd 27 win and 4.36 place
speculative Rest Assured – head 2nd 8.33 win and 2.49 place
615 wolves Betting forecast: 7/4 Sunbird, 3/1 Water Dancer, 7/2 Kachou, 8/1 Light Wave, 8/1 Quill Art, 10/1 Wowee, 33/1 Petergate, 66/1 Devonian, 100/1 Desperado Dancer.
usual Kachou  – 6th 46
speculative Wowee – 8th 3.94

So close to a profit on the day, but for a head 2nd.

Today

155 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 5/4 Morning Run, 6/4 Carrigmoorna Rock, 8/1 Lyrical Theatre, 10/1 Rock On The Moor, 20/1 Baie Des Iles, 25/1 Melbourne Lady, 33/1 Knockraha Pylon, 40/1 Why Not Thistle, 100/1 Portrette.
usual Rock on the Moor
speculative Baie des iles
1255 ffos las Betting forecast: 13/8 Souriyan, 11/4 Got The Nac, 11/2 Filatore, 13/2 Arantes, 10/1 Curious Carlos, 10/1 Glenwood Star, 20/1 Night´s Watch, 40/1 Herr Larry Hewis, 66/1 Y O Me.
usual Got the nac
speculative Curious Carlos
145 lingfield Betting forecast: 4/5 Middle England, 7/2 Souk Al Tahab, 6/1 Single Lense, 12/1 Stenid, 14/1 Donetsk, 14/1 Limerick Lord, 33/1 Cockle Town Boy, 100/1 Willow Jubilee.
usual Single lens
speculative Limerick Lord