2 Horse Race Placers

Selections for Wednesday 30th September 2015

Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 30th September 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

6 305 sedgefield Betting forecast: 11/10 The Backup Plan, 5/2 Humbel Ben, 6/1 Sendiym, 1st 1.63
5 510 sthl Betting forecast: 5/4 Tir Dubh, 13/8 Kayla, 11/2 Brenda De Ronceray 1st 1.27

Today

14 200 chepstow Betting forecast: 9/4 Potters Corner, 9/4 Western Xpress, 7/1 Arthur´s Gift,
5 720 kempton Betting forecast: Evs Pure Diamond, 5/2 Vicennalia, 6/1 Zodiakos,
9 240 nottingham Betting forecast: 6/4 Triathlon, 9/4 Cacica, 13/2 Lily Tricks,