Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 30th September 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

520 bath Betting forecast: 1/2 High Secret, 6/1 Tunnel Tiger, 8/1 Reach The Beach, 10/1 Noor Al Haya, 20/1 Lucky Diva, 20/1 Vertueux, 25/1 River Du Nord, 25/1 Vexillum, 33/1 Illegale.
usual Reach the beach  – 2nd 13.5 win and 1.97 place
speculative Lucky diva – non runner

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410 hamilton Betting forecast: 6/4 Libra Romana, 9/4 Her Red Devil, 5/1 Neuf Des Coeurs, 12/1 Royal Straight, 12/1 Taxiformissbyron, 16/1 Card High, 16/1 Prostate Awareness. check 3places
usual Neuf des coeurs  – 6th 5
speculative Taxiformissbyron – 4th 13.56

Only 2 to be placed here so perhaps leave it alone.

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510 hamilton Betting forecast: 5/2 Stanarley Pic, 4/1 Eilean Mor, 4/1 Harrison´s Cave, 13/2 Dhaular Dhar, 8/1 Amazing Blue Sky, 12/1 Legal Advisor, 12/1 Vittachi, 14/1 Hero´s Story, 16/1 Schmooze.
usual harrison’s cave  – 4th 7
speculative Amazing blue sky – 5th 27

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Today

240 ayr Betting forecast: 13/8 Juncart, 11/4 Westhoughton, 4/1 Doctors Papers, 8/1 Missisipi Baileys, 10/1 Competent, 14/1 Don Ricardo, 50/1 It´s Time For Bed, 50/1 Royal Regent.
usual Doctors Papers
speculative Don Ricardo

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315 ayr Betting forecast: 3/1 Scrafton, 5/1 A Southside Boy, 5/1 Crakehall Lad, 8/1 In Vino Veritas, 8/1 La Bacouetteuse, 8/1 Miss Macnamara, 8/1 Shadows Ofthenight, 10/1 Jammy Moment, 16/1 Grand Diamond.
usual La Bacouetteuse
speculative Shadows iofthenight

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425 ayr Betting forecast: 7/4 Secret City, 7/2 Hazza The Jazza, 9/2 Amis Reunis, 7/1 Rock Canyon, 12/1 Clabare, 12/1 Stoneacre Oskar, 16/1 Princess Rose, 33/1 Bannock Town, 33/1 Echologic.
usual Rock Canyon
speculative Princess Rose

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600 ayr Betting forecast: 15/8 Jersey Brown, 3/1 Kiss Of Spring, 4/1 Staffhoss, 10/1 Indian Giver, 10/1 Smile For Me, 12/1 Exton, 16/1 Ebony Clarets, 16/1 Tortoise, 25/1 Maillot Jaune.
usual Staffhoss
speculative Exton

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355 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 5/4 Katimavik, 9/4 Sirikoi, 8/1 Lovely Dancer, 12/1 D And J´s Child, 12/1 Highland Rebel, 14/1 Hammermann, 20/1 Emiest Rose, 25/1 Doris Marie, 25/1 Randall´s Rebecca.
usual Lovely Dancer
speculative Highland Rebel

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535 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 7/4 Adeste Fideles, 11/4 Break My Mind, 9/2 Mozetta, 11/2 Lettre De Cachet, 6/1 Akiliyna, 8/1 Fanzine, 33/1 Sea Red, 50/1 El Dem I.
usual Mozetta
speculative Fanzine