Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Tuesday 30th September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

5 250 bath Betting forecast: 4/5 Maxwell, 9/4 Phyllis Maud, 5/1 Imperial War, – 1st 1.22

5 240 hamilton Betting forecast: 7/4 White Vin Jan, 9/4 Gabrial The Tiger, 5/1 Doc Charm, – 2nd 1.6
8 410 ahmilton Betting forecast: 6/4 Libra Romana, 9/4 Her Red Devil, 5/1 Neuf Des Coeurs, – 3rd and 5th 1.92
7 230 na Betting forecast: 1/3 Son Du Berlais, 7/2 Val D´arc, 10/1 Nordic Run, – 1st 1.07
4 400 na Betting forecast: 1/2 Court Minstrel, 2/1 Keltus, 14/1 Ladies Dancing – 2nd 1.13
6 405 roscommon Betting forecast: 11/8 Ted Veale, 13/8 Un Beau Roman, 8/1 The Black Russian,  – 1st 1.49

Today

9 355 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 5/4 Katimavik, 9/4 Sirikoi, 8/1 Lovely Dancer,
5 250 sedgefield Betting forecast: 11/10 Sacred Square, 7/4 Pair Of Jacks, 5/1 Camachoice
5 650 wolves Betting forecast: 6/4 Shaw Ting, 7/4 Madam Midnight, 5/1 Heart Of Africa,