Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Thursday 30th October 2014

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

300 nottingham Betting forecast: 6/4 Storm The Stars, 3/1 Golden Horn, 5/1 Champagne Bob, 7/1 Al, 8/1 Master Of Speed, 16/1 Countermand, 16/1 Leonardo, 50/1 Spirit Rapping.
usual Al  4th 10.45
speculative Leonardo – 6th 190

135 punchestown Betting forecast: 9/4 Drumacoo, 7/2 Roi Des Francs, 4/1 Pack The Punch, 9/2 Pan Wandle, 10/1 Courtin In The Rye, 12/1 Pros ´n´ Cons, 16/1 Too Many Notes, 25/1 Dakota Fred.
usual Pan Wandle  – 5th 15.5
speculative Pros and Cons – 4th 38.07

405 punch Betting forecast: 4/6 Virtuoso Rouge, 6/1 Delvin Road, 13/2 Rock On The Moor, 7/1 Germany John, 10/1 Don Vincenzo, 14/1 Battle Of Shiloh, 25/1 Rhinestone Boy, 33/1 Mister Miyagi.
usual Rock on the Moor  – 1st 8.16 win and 2.32 place
speculative Battle of Shiloh – non runner

340 taunton Betting forecast: 15/8 Kalimantan, 3/1 Grand Gigolo, 5/1 Bus Named Desire, 5/1 Royal Etiquette, 10/1 Watchmetail, 14/1 An Capall Mor, 25/1 Positive Vibes, 40/1 Wheelavit.
usual Bus named desire  – 5th 15.8
speculative Watchmetail – faller 9.16
410 taunton Betting forecast: 6/4 Pod, 4/1 El Toreros, 9/2 Chance Encounter, 8/1 Red Jester, 12/1 Beauchamp Viking, 12/1 Captain Knock, 16/1 Celtic Fella, 16/1 Trakeur, 40/1 Indiefront.
usual Chance encounter  – 3rd 4.31 win and 1.78 place
speculative Beauchamp Viking – 7th 30

Today

140 stratford Betting forecast: 6/4 Street Entertainer, 9/2 Gud Day, 6/1 Stay Tuned, 6/1 Ya Hafed, 9/1 Debt To Society, 10/1 Saver, 12/1 Shine In Time, 20/1 Massachusetts, 50/1 My Treasure.
usual Ya Hafed
speculative Shine in Time
210 stratford Betting forecast: 11/10 Lysino, 6/1 Great Link, 6/1 It´s A Steal, 8/1 Quite By Chance, 11/1 Cody Wyoming, 14/1 Mandy´s Boy, 14/1 This Is Me, 16/1 Jackthejourneyman, 20/1 Faustina Pius.
usual It’s a steal
speculative Jackthejourneyman