Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 235 punch Betting forecast: 7/4 Chancol, 9/4 Mr Fiftyone, 5/1 Drumlee, – 2nd 1.54
5 305 punch Betting forecast: 10/11 Shanahan´s Turn, 6/4 Wounded Warrior, 10/1 Master Oscar, – 1st 1.2
6 240 taunton Betting forecast: 5/6 Supreme Present, 9/4 Honey Pound, 5/1 Sacred Square, – 1st 1.17
6 440 taunton Betting forecast: 5/6 A Hairy Koala, 6/4 Dry Ol´party, 10/1 Benim, – 4th 1.41
7 420 worcester Betting forecast: 5/4 Sykes, 9/4 Moral Hazard, 6/1 Copperfacejack, – 2nd 1.41

Today

15 125 clonmel Betting forecast: 6/4 Louise Royale, 3/1 Mollyanna, 6/1 Oscar Invitation,
4 430 kempton Betting forecast: 4/5 Les Gar Gan, 7/4 New Colours, 7/1 Emperor Ferdinand,

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