Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Wednesday 30th July 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

9 815 galway Betting forecast: 8/13 Antique Platinum, 5/2 Rightway, 8/1 Henson, 1st 1.08
8 230 goodwood Betting forecast: 10/11 Beacon, 3/1 Cotai Glory, 6/1 Mukhmal, 3rd 1.14
8 750 worcester Betting forecast: 11/8 Discay, 13/8 Breaking The Bank, 5/1 Burgravio, 1st 1.13
7 500 yarmouth Betting forecast: 9/4 Tychaios, 9/4 Verus Delicia, 5/1 Logans Lad, 2nd 1.24

Today

5 305 goodwood Betting forecast: 4/9 Kingman, 2/1 Toronado, 25/1 Outstrip,