Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Friday 2nd October 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

430 bangor Betting forecast: 11/10 Tahira, 4/1 Flower Power, 9/2 Native Princess, 8/1 Kilty Caul, 10/1 Midnight Gem, 16/1 Miss Tiger Lily, 33/1 All Riled Up, 40/1 Omgnotanother, 66/1 Impeccability.
usual Native Princess  – 9th 3.45
speculative Midnight Gem – 6th 9.2
615 chelms Betting forecast: 2/1 Swanton Blue, 5/2 Staintondale Lass, 5/1 Arizona Sunrise, 5/1 Daydream, 10/1 Ten Rocks, 16/1 Eagle Falls, 20/1 Hearmenow, 33/1 Starleyf, 50/1 Bushwise.
usual Arizona Sunrise  – 5th 3.82
speculative Ten Rocks – 6th 22
210 warwick Betting forecast: 13/8 Canicallyouback, 5/1 Abbreviate, 6/1 Jazz Thyme, 6/1 Palermo Don, 6/1 Valseur Du Granval, 15/2 Inchiquin All Star, 20/1 Christmas Twenty, 20/1 The Mythologist, 33/1 Gentle Mel.
usual Jazz Thyme  – 4th 8.64
speculative Inchiquin All Star – 7th 13

Today

435 ascot Betting forecast: 6/4 Flying Hammer, 6/1 Goring, 6/1 Khareer, 8/1 Harlequin Striker, 8/1 Mount Tahan, 10/1 Them And Us, 12/1 Anonymous John, 12/1 Explosive Lady, 12/1 Fieldsman.
usual Goring
speculative Them and Us
210 fontwell Betting forecast: 13/8 Oceane, 7/2 Darebin, 6/1 Auld Fyffee, 6/1 Consortium, 6/1 Jersey Bull, 12/1 Albert Herring, 25/1 Our Nipper, 66/1 Konnos Bay.
usual Auld Fyffee
speculative Albert Herring
515 gowran Betting forecast: 11/10 Snag List, 7/2 Faraway Mountain, 5/1 Wiiphania, 8/1 Lion´s Choice, 10/1 An Irish Airman, 14/1 Bitview Colin, 16/1 The Last Sup, 20/1 Shepherd´s Hill.
usual Wilphania
speculative An Irish Airman