Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 2nd March 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

I left you with a couple of winners and a couple of placers , one at 20/1 on the 14th November.

I will leave out results today as time is short.

Yesterday

 

500 hunt Betting forecast: 11/10 Knockgraffon, 2/1 Ballyhenry, 14/1 Brave Richard, 14/1 Cougar Kid, 14/1 Flashjack, 14/1 Organ Morgan, 14/1 The Last Bar, 50/1 Steady Eddie.
usual Brave Richard  – non runner
speculative Flashjack -2nd 6.8 win and 1.43 place
350 navan Betting forecast: 8/11 Azorian, 11/4 Riverside City, 6/1 Rudolf, 8/1 Big Kern, 16/1 Bank Man, 16/1 Special Bar, 50/1 Redclue, 66/1 Castle Goer.
usual Rudolf  – pu 16.9
speculative Bank Man – faller 66.78

Today

450 sthl Betting forecast: 7/4 Dont Call Me Oscar, 4/1 Stag Hill, 4/1 Zero Visibility, 6/1 Reyno, 13/2 Bobby Dove, 10/1 Tidestream, 20/1 Mr Squirrel, 66/1 Santo Subito.
usual Zero Visibility
speculative Tidestream
540 wolves Betting forecast: 6/4 Subcontinent, 11/4 Monaleen, 9/2 Madam Midnight, 11/2 Snow Pearl, 10/1 Aksoun, 16/1 Approaching Dawn, 66/1 Rossington, 66/1 Vicarage Gold.
usual Madam Midnight
speculative Aksoun