Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 29th September 2014

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

7 255 curragh Betting forecast: 11/10 The Great War, 7/4 Tamadhor, 7/1 Byzantium, 1st 1.25
8 330 curragh Betting forecast: 5/4 Ol´ Man River, 9/4 Tombelaine, 11/2 Convergence, 1st 1.07
5 505 epsom Betting forecast: 4/6 Ghany, 2/1 Too The Stars, 8/1 Zynah, 2nd 1.06
5 200 muss Betting forecast: 4/6 Manshaa, 5/2 Best Example, 7/1 Frosty Flyer, 2nd 1.06

Today

5 250 bath Betting forecast: 4/5 Maxwell, 9/4 Phyllis Maud, 5/1 Imperial War,
5 240 hamilton Betting forecast: 7/4 White Vin Jan, 9/4 Gabrial The Tiger, 5/1 Doc Charm,
8 410 ahmilton Betting forecast: 6/4 Libra Romana, 9/4 Her Red Devil, 5/1 Neuf Des Coeurs,
7 230 na Betting forecast: 1/3 Son Du Berlais, 7/2 Val D´arc, 10/1 Nordic Run,
4 400 na Betting forecast: 1/2 Court Minstrel, 2/1 Keltus, 14/1 Ladies Dancing
6 405 roscommon Betting forecast: 11/8 Ted Veale, 13/8 Un Beau Roman, 8/1 The Black Russian,