Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Sunday 29th November 2015

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

A quick reminder, we place back the bookmaker’s favourite and not the Betfair favourite. This is an important distinction as quite often these are 2 different horses. Background 2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets. Follow these steps below 1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare. 2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time. 3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

6 245 bangor Betting forecast: Evs Arctic Gold, 6/4 Goldboy, 13/2 Theatrical Style, 1st 1.53
6 320 bangor Betting forecast: 11/10 Final Nudge, 11/8 Tippmanboy, 8/1 Feather Lane, 2nd 1.15
19 110 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 6/5 Pylonthepressure, 6/4 Tombstone, 12/1 Ice Cold Soul, 2nd 1.06
8 815 wolves Betting forecast: 13/8 Sparring, 13/8 The Steward, 11/2 Brandon Castle, 3rd 1.21

Today

6 150 carlisle Betting forecast: 11/10 On Tour, 5/4 Sirabad, 8/1 Looking Well,
11 220 carlisle Betting forecast: 6/5 Lake View Lad, 11/8 Virnon, 8/1 Freddies Portrait,
7 250 carlisle Betting forecast: 2/5 Gitane Du Berlais, 3/1 Emily Gray, 12/1 Ebony Empress,
14 340 fairyhouse Betting forecast: 10/11 Lucky Pass, 15/8 Sunni May, 6/1 Blood Crazed Tiger
8 100 leicester Betting forecast: 10/11 Onefitzall, 13/8 Knockgraffon, 10/1 King Kayf,