Racing Testing Lab

Selections for Monday 29th June 2015

Each way betting – a background How do I go about my each-way selection process? In this post you will see a list of races which all have one thing in common. They are all 8/9 runner races as this is the shortest field which pays out for horses finishing 1st, 2nd and 3rd . By selecting an 8/9 runner race, you immediately put the probabilities of selecting a horse to finish in the top 3, in your favour. Remember that your objective is to find a horse to finish in the top 3, with a winner being an obvious bonus. 1) we select only from 8/9 runner races 2) we make 2 selections. The first is called the Usual selection .

A usual selection is a horse who is near the head of the betting forecast and who looks like an obvious selection to finish in the first 3 at least. We then make a speculative selection. This horse is likely to be a bigger price and is selected because horse racing is inherently unpredictable and races are won by other -than the market leaders We want to be able to cover a bigger priced horse who might surprise.

On the 3rd May 2014, I selected just such a horse, Run with Pride, and he won at Betfair SP odds of 142, and paid 12 to place. 3) which brings me to my 3rd point. Use Betfair Sp for your win and place only bets . Why? Well Run with Pride won at odds of 142 using Betfair SP, and returned at only 33/1 with the bookmakers.

This is the background behind the selections you will find here. Make sure you check the place onlyterms at www.betfair.com. Some races may only pay out on 2 places. We want to see 3 places as it increases our probabilities of getting a return.

Yesterday

 

240 cartmel Betting forecast: 7/4 Miss Dinamic, 11/4 Chilly Miss, 7/2 Bengali, 10/1 Miss Joeking, 10/1 Pixiepot, 12/1 Irondale Express, 25/1 Auntie Annie, 33/1 Petite Madame.
usual Chilly Miss 2nd 5.8 win and 1.61 place
speculative Pixiepot 5th 26.74

430 curragh Betting forecast: 7/4 Legatissimo, 5/1 Brooch, 5/1 Diamondsandrubies, 5/1 Pleascach, 6/1 Ribbons, 7/1 Secret Gesture, 25/1 Mutatis Mutandis, 33/1 Pollyana, 33/1 Tamadhor.
usual Diamondsandrubies 1st 11.21 win and 2.98 place
speculative Secret Gesture 4th 9.9

A happy coincidence that the winner was a Seamie Heffernan/Aiden O’Brien horse.

Another excellent day and a June which has been quite superb.

Today

815 musselburgh Betting forecast: 9/4 Jebediah Shine, 7/2 Saxonette, 4/1 Go Go Green, 7/1 Dream Sika, 8/1 Thorntoun Lady, 10/1 Busy Bimbo, 12/1 Secret Millionaire, 33/1 Tadalavil.
usual Go Go Green
speculative Thorntoun Lady
330 pontefract Betting forecast: 9/4 Sleeping Apache, 7/2 Another Royal, 6/1 Lady Ibrox, 6/1 Scoreline, 8/1 Horsforth, 10/1 State Of The Union, 14/1 Spring Bird, 14/1 Tinsill, 20/1 Ben Hall.
usual Another Royal
speculative Horsforth
630 windsor Betting forecast: 3/1 Haadeeth, 3/1 The Dandy Yank, 4/1 Castorienta, 4/1 Ocean Legend, 13/2 Indus Valley, 10/1 Emperors Warrior, 33/1 Gypsy Rider, 50/1 Dippinganddiving.
usual Castorienta
speculative Emperors Warrior