Racing Testing Lab

Background

2013 saw this place only betting idea of mine profit by about 45 points. That’s a decent return given the short odds which prevail in place only betting markets.

Follow these steps below

1) the races listed here are chosen from www.racingpost.com because they feature ” apparent ” 2 horse races. This is in inverted commas because we are using the betting forecast which is simply just a journalist’s idea of how the race will fare.

2) we back in the to place only market at www.betfair.com , to Betfair SP, the bookmaker’s favourite in these races. I tried a number of different strategies such as following the betting forecast favourite, or 2nd favourite, and found over time that the bookmaker favourite placed 80+% of the time.

3) we back in the to place only market at odds of between 1.1 and 1.5 only. Anything under 1.1 is simply not worth it. A cut off point of 1.5 ensures the strike rate does not diminish as we move to higher place only odds.

Yesterday

6 415 bellewstown Betting forecast: 11/8 Morga, 7/4 Little King Robin, 5/1 Ballychorus, 5th 1.67
12 445 bellewstown Betting forecast: 8/15 Draco, 100/30 Old Storm, 10/1 Mind The Pennies, 1st 1.06
11615 bellewstown Betting forecast: 8/13 Bosman Rule, 7/2 Dun Scaith, 10/1 Mississippilanding, 2nd 1.13
6 210 font Betting forecast: 6/5 Workbench, 3/1 Marju´s Quest, 11/2 Black Cow, 2nd 1.54
5 450 fontwell Betting forecast: 8/13 Crannaghmore Boy, 11/4 Amroth Bay, 10/1 Cruz On Ted, 2nd 1.39
5 300 ffos las Betting forecast: 11/8 Split The Atom, 7/4 Bold, 4/1 Gold Prince, 2nd 1.48
5 435 ffos las Betting forecast: 6/4 William Hogarth, 7/4 Reach The Beach, 7/2 Pindora, 3rd 1.46
6 720 hamilton Betting forecast: 5/6 Showtime Star, 5/2 Bifocal, 6/1 Oriental Heights, 1st 1.09
8 610 lingfield Betting forecast: 11/10 Moonvoy, 7/4 New Identity, 11/2 Virile, 2nd 1.15
9 220 stratford Betting forecast: 6/4 Mile House, 7/4 Rockmount River, 7/1 Tinkers Lane, 1st 1.23
10 500 tipperary Betting forecast: 2/1 Forebear, 5/2 Intense Light, 8/1 Acting Talent, 6th 6th 13/8
11 530 tipperary Betting forecast: 9/10 Hail The Hero, 9/4 Dunquin, 8/1 Amerikos, 5th 1.09
8 600 tipperary Betting forecast: 2/1 Fit For The Job, 5/2 Toscanelli, 11/2 Fields Of May 1st 1.52
10 630 tipperary Betting forecast: 9/4 Tested, 11/4 Purr Along, 8/1 Some Spirit, 1st and 6th 1.35

Today

10 520 downroyal Betting forecast: 7/4 Storm Away, 5/2 What Lies Ahead, 9/2 West Montan,
14 240 thirsk Betting forecast: 2/1 Deerfield, 3/1 Referendum, 7/1 Landwade Lad,
4 630 wolves Betting forecast: 10/11 Tabjeel, 13/8 Seldom Seen, 6/1 I Do Know,
9 830 wolves Betting forecast: 9/4 Ragged Robbin, 5/2 Elpida, 13/2 Dalgig,